tireman4 wrote: ↑Wed May 15, 2024 9:20 am Ocean Temperatures 2024

A 2023 without shear in 2024 = Deadly.

This is the way I see this Summer playing out...... Most (rightfully so North of Houston) are complaining about the rain. Don't blame them for a second. Many (south of Houston) are meh....could've used more rain, but at least it wasn't zilch. We are all complaining about the mosquitoes right now, a...

To quote Gomer Pyle: Surprise! Surprise! Surprise! Some cells arrive early to the party. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KGRK_loop.gif?refreshed=1715834534788 Lots of rain headed your way. Wouldn’t be surprised if you get another 5+”. I'd gladly send it your way. Save it for summer up here.

To quote Gomer Pyle: Surprise! Surprise! Surprise! Some cells arrive early to the party.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed May 15, 2024 6:05 pm

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed May 15, 2024 5:15 pm We may have to watch friday closely for more flooding as some of the mesoscale guidance is starting to show yet another disturbance moving in with more heavy rain behind thursdays system

I noticed that on the HRRR and FV3.

Looks like along the coast - hope it works out for you.

Thursday night in CLL for coverage by the MCS. By Friday the system is moving on out. Cady is more confident in sizable rain totals. We'll see. An extended capping period begins on Saturday. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 400 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024 ...New SHOR...

HRRR's mild showers would be fine.

Looks like a bust below Hwy 79 on the NAM

wpc_excessive_rainfall_dayjh3.us_sc.png Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1201 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Day 3 Valid 12Z Thu May 16 2024 - 12Z Fri May 17 2024 ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue May 14, 2024 10:12 am

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Tue May 14, 2024 9:47 am One last Chamber of Commerce Day before more rain and then The Big Suck.

Enjoy! Clear, dry days have been a rarity this Spring.

I’ve had several dry days

But cloudy...

One last Chamber of Commerce Day before more rain and then The Big Suck.

Enjoy! Clear, dry days have been a rarity this Spring.

A gully washer Thursday evening.

The next storm system to watch is this Thursday,we may see another MCS.It's nice having a normal Spring for once. rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_76.png What are you seeing after though? Looks like a quiet period to me. Well Friday and or Saturday may end up stormy also as the frontal boundary will still ...

Nasty cells headed toward West Columbia

Storms are getting stronger out there as they move towards SE Texas... Screenshot 2024-05-13 at 13-15-44 NWS Radar.png ww0237_overview_wou.gif BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 237 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 100 PM CDT MON MAY 13 202...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon May 13, 2024 1:16 pm Man, this came in way faster than I expected.

Coming in hot. Rain had begun 90 min rarly

It looks like one cluster is headed for Houston along or south of I-10 and another cluster from Austin headed to CLL

djmike wrote: ↑Mon May 13, 2024 10:33 am Getting a little concerned for SETX. My anxiety is activated. Lol. LOVE severe weather but the “not knowing” eats me alive. Stay safe everyone!

Wind and hail. Get ready!

MH5 wrote: ↑Mon May 13, 2024 8:52 am Already have a MD out for things popping out west of San Antonio with a watch incoming shortly. Today looks right on (or slightly ahead of) schedule.

Those cells are poppin with bad intentions! Unusual to see severe storms that far SW - usually capped or not enough energy.

0Z HRRR for tomorrow. Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-16-51 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.pngScreenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-16-59 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.pngScreenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-17-14 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png HRRR has been showing that since 0z yesterday. Looks good! I definitely wan...