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Without much movement, there's plenty of warm GoM water for organizing. But expecting some north drifting lemonade!

Stratton20 wrote: ↑

Tue Jun 28, 2022 7:15 pm

00z Tropical Models, most clustered around a landfall just to the west of matagorda bay late thursday which would be excellent news for SE Texas

Yes, love that track, here on the east side...

No rain again, but at least the dewpoint has sunk into the upper 40s in CLL.

95°F and low humidity feels like the 80s! A very pleasant evening.

As for 95L - come north, baby!

jasons2k wrote: ↑

Mon Jun 27, 2022 5:06 pm

0.00”

Same here. Now the cells are north of us and west, instead of south. Completely screwed.

https://youtu.be/NkCa49I6_xw

Cpv17 wrote: ↑

Mon Jun 27, 2022 9:01 am

djmike wrote: ↑

Mon Jun 27, 2022 8:53 am

Cpv17 wrote: ↑

Mon Jun 27, 2022 8:06 am

HRRR has a nice scattering of showers south of 10 for later this afternoon.

Can you post the HRRR for this afternoon/evening?

That's really close for today's rain distribution.

102°F with winds N20 G30. How is that even possible? lol.

Well that qpf gives everyone but Beaumont a good chance of rain. Itll be my luck… At least your area benefited from some of the popup storms that blew through the border over the last week. Most of us haven't seen a drop in weeks. Hopefully this system can halt the desert feedback loop and open the...

don wrote: ↑

Mon Jun 27, 2022 12:42 pm

The EURO shows some nice rainfall totals from the system.

:pray

That would be nice!

don wrote: ↑

Mon Jun 27, 2022 3:43 pm

Big shift west on the 18Z ICON.Now has a landfall of a weak tropical storm around Matagorda. Looks more in line with the other models now.

Then go North to Northwest!

I got shafted by a storm up here last night, all thunder/lightning but no rain, what a troll haha, I hope this low comes in around matagorda bay I hope it comes in around Port O’Connor. It's a 100°F in CLL (so much for the cool-off)...and cells continue to lurk and drift west, just south of os. Con...