Meanwhile, I’m still sitting at 0.80 inches of rain in my backyard for the past 2 weeks. Yes that’s right, I haven’t accumulated one inch of rain throughout this entire “wet” stretch for the past two weeks. I had the same observation and was going to post the exact same thing. I've have some partin...

Not to pry or get off topic too much, but why exactly did they deny your claim for a full roof replacement? Meanwhile, I’m still sitting at 0.80 inches of rain in my backyard for the past 2 weeks. Yes that’s right, I haven’t accumulated one inch of rain throughout this entire “wet” stretch for the ...

State Farm hung me out to dry after waiting 2 months to see if they would cover my roof damage. Infuriating since I could have had my roof replaced 5x over in thr time spent waiting on them, all while it never rakned. Now that I've got a roofer on my own, it's raining it's *** off everyday and I ca...

State Farm hung me out to dry after waiting 2 months to see if they would cover my roof damage. Infuriating since I could have had my roof replaced 5x over in thr time spent waiting on them, all while it never rakned. Now that I've got a roofer on my own, it's raining it's *** off everyday and I ca...

One of the more prominent issues that the waves coming off of Africa are having is the overwhelming African Easterly Jet bleeding into the Western African Moonsoon Trough at this time. The air flow has been simply too fast coming off of the continent of Africa which is almost shearing the waves over...

Hurricane Katrina's first rodeo Back in August of 2005, South Florida was struck by a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. The storm made landfall near the border of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties. It killed 14 and caused the 2024 equivalent of $1 billion in damage. It was Hurricane K...

This Week's ENSO Niño 4 0.6ºC Niño 3.4 0.2ºC Niño 3 -0.1ºC Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It remains the same. Hopefully, all the statistical models are wrong at this fort...

This Week's ENSO Niño 4 0.6ºC Niño 3.4 0.2ºC Niño 3 -0.1ºC Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It remains the same. Hopefully, all the statistical models are wrong at this fort...

Hurricane Katrina's first rodeo Back in August of 2005, South Florida was struck by a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. The storm made landfall near the border of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties. It killed 14 and caused the 2024 equivalent of $1 billion in damage. It was Hurricane K...

It's official. The wife and I will be relocating to the north side of Austin over the next month, likely to the Georgetown area. Gave official word of mouth to the new boss on Friday and will sign the papers Monday or Tuesday. Will be trading super humidity for drier, but also trading hurricanes an...

Since everyone is still dealing with the aftermath of Beryl in some form or fashion, this storm is still fresh on everyone’s mind. Now I simply ask everyone affected by this storm to close their eyes for a moment and imagine if 150mph Category 4 Hurricane Laura had struck our region head on like Hur...

If it's a cat 1 at landfall how many people on here are actually going to leave? I plan on staying of it's a ts or a cat 1 maybe a 2..anything at a 3 or above then I would probably leave The problem is that this is a situation where we could see rapid intensification prior to landfall. If the storm...

I remember some people were questioning the NHC, saying they were too aggressive with respect to their intensity forecast for Hurricane Beryl in their 1st advisory. Yet here we are with yet another overachieving hurricane intensifying much stronger than initially forecast. I really hope we don’t exp...

Looking ahead, based upon what I’m seeing from the EFS & GEFS ensembles, the chances of lower pressures occurring in the Gulf of Mexico and along the Gulf Coast States appear to continue through the end of June. I’m making this assumption based upon the higher height anomalies depicted to occur ...

The 6/11 GFS 00Z Run is a very wet run for the Gulf of Mexico and the Gulf Coast States. It even has a 29.97-inch bullseye total along the Louisiana/Mississippi border. Be mindful that these totals will shift around as we draw closer to the moisture surge/possible tropical development.... GFS TOTAL ...

Sadly, it's not available any longer. That’s unfortunate. I always looked forward to going on there and catching up on everything. My main takeaway from that place was a poster on there named Wunderkidcayman and how badly he wanted every storm to go towards the Cayman Islands lol Ha I remember thos...

Unfortunately I don’t see much rain on the models in my area. Thank goodness I got almost an inch yesterday. Not so fast with that assumption because there's still a chance you could still receive a good downpour or two later this evening and/or tomorrow morning. That 18Z HRRR run does not capture ...

Yeah I literally cannot remember whenever I saw Surface CAPE values that high near our region. I almost want to say never. Mixed Layer CAPE values were extremely high near our region as well exceeding 6,500 J/kg just west/southwest of Cpv17’s area around 2300Z…

Here is a good YouTube video from the Houston Heights that reveals how the winds ramp up during the May 16th storms …

https://youtu.be/kLN50lepxaY?si=rcE8KjFIQHtQJ2U3

It's extremely rare to see Surface CAPE values exceeding 8,000 J/kg anywhere across the country, any time of the year, let alone over portions of SE Texas. Yet earlier this evening between 2100Z & 2300Z, that's exactly what we saw... SPC MAP - SURFACE CAPE - 5.27.2024 - 2100.png SPC MAP - SURFAC...