I know the models got the timing wrong but this system is slow and evolving...hide and watch as it may leap up and surprise us when it all comes together.

10-15 day GFS Is interesting!

Frost all the way to the growing this morning...32 at weather station this morning in central Hardin County.

ticka1 wrote:

Portastorm wrote:The 0z European model should it verify would lay down 3" of snow across all of Travis County and the metro Austin area late next weekend. Higher snow amounts in the central and southern Hill Country. Wow!

Does it show any for SE Texas?[/quote

Probably be mixed (pink)...lol

30 degrees here my Casa and at nearest weather station which resides at the Big Thicket visitor center

I does seem thatcher temps east of I-45 have been lower than anticipated and I wonder if the low pressure riding the tail end of the storm system that came thru last night that is now in Arkansas has helped to drag more cold shallow air south? What's the thoughts?

vci_guy2003 wrote:Bastardi is a lunatic LOL

Oh he's a nut case but he is just a nut case that's right a lot about the weather and in the private sector is very successful. I don't think anybody ever introduced him to ADHD meds! LMBO

Bastardi just publicly said weather going nation wide to the coldest since 1987-88 advising his clients on Nstural Gas stock. "Nailed the cold last four years"..."that's why they pay me...miss it people loose money and you get fired" LOL...wow that's kinda like trying to coach in...

Thunderstorm with rotation and reported damage around the Bevil Oaks area to and through the Lumberton Area. Don't know if a rotation actually reach the ground or it was straight line winds but a Tornado warning was issued at about 7:45pm...any help on their Srain, Wxman anybody have any additional ...

I just had 2 inches of rain in like 30 minutes and pea sized hail here just off Hwy 69 and Hwy 326 about 25 miles north of Beaumont.

Ok...starting to feel like a bit of a training event! Please say not!

The 12z Canada GEM has the country as a whole very cold coast to coast and north to south. Bastardi just tweeted that when the oceans and poles get warm that the continents get cold in winter to even things out...pretty impressive map he showed to back that statement up!

snowman65 wrote:OK, this could be very interesting for me...yikes....I fly back the afternoon of the 18th

Wow look at that warming over the Arctic...the cold is gonna lock in over the lower 48

If the cold air flows into Texas it will move east with the expansion of the easterly migrating trough so you will get your fair share and if it were to go more east you definitely will.

With the blocking and teleconnection over western Canada and the source being Arctic in nature once the damm breaks and starts south it's gonna go all the way to Brownsville. If the cold air sets up more central Canada there is a greater chance it shunts to the midwest area and we get back door cold...

The morning Updated Teleconnection Indices and the MJO continue to advertise a pattern capable of delivering a colder and stormier pattern to our Region. We will need to monitor the evolution of these indicators to see if a Hemispheric Pattern Change is truly underway. 01082016 AO ao_sprd2.gif 0108...

If the models verify and the a true connection establishes than the cold will slide down the middle of the country using the Rocky Mountain Range as a funnel...and with a through digging deep than it fills in and then engages the southeast and east coast. Basically 2/3 of the nation get the deep fre...

Looks like Ms. Valley to me...which can deliver us some cold air...we will see

Some of the global models and their ensembles have been suggesting upper air amplification along the US west coast with high pressure ridging deep into the northern latitudes and some degree of high latitude blocking over the northern hemisphere over the next two weeks. There is some potential for ...

I don't know how close I am on this but I give a 50% chance of an arctic air mass coming down the heart of the country in mid month range...I give it equal chances to slide into the Mississippi valley and we get a pretty solid back door front. I do not think this will be an east coast only Arctic bl...