javakah wrote: ↑Sat May 04, 2024 9:06 pm

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Sat May 04, 2024 8:43 pm Our ranch house is catching hail, literally.

I assume there was an error and it meant 3 inches of hail, surely, not 3 feet.

From what I’m hearing, it was 3 feet and not inches. Insane if true.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat May 04, 2024 9:31 pm Guidance is coming in more progressive with the MCS tommorow, 00z mesoscale models cutting back on rain totals somewhat, thats very encouraging to see!

That’s not what us south of I-10 wanna hear lol

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Sat May 04, 2024 8:22 pm Bring it. It could rain 5 inches here and be dry within a day.

It’d be nice actually if they expanded that moderate zone south a good 50 miles but I doubt they will.

If the MDT risk is expanded further south…Fort Bend would likely be added to the Flood Watch It’s pretty dry where I am. We could get 5” here and handle it pretty well. It’s been a few weeks since we’ve had anything and the crops could use it. May is an important month around here for the crops to ...

0z HRRR has a bullseye of 10+ inches in Harris county fwiw. I'm not concerned about it yet but I'll be watching to see if future runs continue to show it. qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (3).png Seeing how the models have significantly underdone totals, and we have over 24-36 hours to recharge the atmosphere, I ...

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 9:55 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 9:13 pm The 0z HRRR would finally make me and Cro happy lol

Where are yall finding this?

Pivotalweather and Tropicaltidbits.

The 0z HRRR would finally make me and Cro happy lol

Massive hook with a pinhole eye on the radar just north of San Angelo, wow!

Some areas have now exceeded 2’ of rain this week, holy cow balls!!

Beginning on Monday, much of next week is supposed to be a big multi-day severe weather outbreak. Most of it should remain north of us but on Wednesday it may start to creep into our area.

The flood watch has been extended till Sunday at 1pm for the same areas that have been under the watch.

Flash flood warning for NE Harris, SE Montgomery, and W Liberty counties has just been issued.

TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 11:07 am It just won't stop raining up north! Everytime it seems to want to calm down, it builds more!

No kidding. There’s literally a purple cell on my radar app right now just north of Cleveland. Those poor people can’t catch a break. It’s incredible.

Goomba wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 10:40 am

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 7:48 am Obscene how the north side has gotten so much that it's going to flood people out of homes and it's bone dry south of I-10

Not in the Beaumont area. Areas south of I-10 have gotten a LOT of rain.

It doesn’t matter where you’re located around Beaumont, it’s gonna rain there regardless.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 10:32 am I’ve gotten over 3” since midnight, over 10” for the event.

I’ve gotten about .10” lol

I like how that outflow boundary is triggering off storms to the SW now. Hopefully some folks south of 10 can get something.

Oh boy, the latest run of the HRRR is looking quite interesting.

I believe Saturdays rain chance may need to be raised and that’s exactly why I said earlier about I’m not so sure about a dry pattern developing after tomorrow.

The HRRR has things firing off again starting around 3am.

Be on the lookout tomorrow morning as Don said for another potential round of T-storms and showers. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2024050218/rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_21.png Hope not. More floods for those that don't need it and a miss for those that do. It depends where the bou...