Search found 3583 matches

by Cpv17
Fri Dec 02, 2022 8:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

You’re missing the recipe completely and focusing on model to model run. AAM collapsing, ridge bridging, warm pool in PAC, and no one is discussing the cryosphere and the Tongan explosion effects on our upper levels. AAM is going to lock in long term ridges. With our AO and NAO in place, we don’t n...
by Cpv17
Fri Dec 02, 2022 6:19 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

MCW, you’re a smart dude. Explain to us what you’re seeing. Educate. You’ve gone in depth before, do it again please lol

I know a decent amount about the weather but don’t think I’m on your level yet lol

I miss srain!
by Cpv17
Fri Dec 02, 2022 6:06 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

Ensembles look terrible. I’m sure we’ll get something within the next couple weeks but definitely don’t see anything impressive headed our way. Still hopeful but my confidence level definitely decreased some today. LOL, y’all live and die with each model run. Euro looks just fine. Canadian too. I d...
by Cpv17
Fri Dec 02, 2022 5:42 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

The polar vortex is expected to weaken in the next several weeks, their of course will be lots of volatility in the models, im not buying the ensembles ,it its going to take 2-3 weeks but the cold will come, my confidence level is around 50-60%, this is a pattern that takes time to change, but I do...
by Cpv17
Fri Dec 02, 2022 5:25 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

Ensembles look terrible. I’m sure we’ll get something within the next couple weeks but definitely don’t see anything impressive headed our way. Still hopeful but my confidence level definitely decreased some today.
by Cpv17
Fri Dec 02, 2022 3:47 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

Dew points are in the 70’s out there this afternoon. Absolutely ridiculous.
by Cpv17
Fri Dec 02, 2022 7:49 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

It’s finally looking like the ensembles are eroding the SE ridge in the medium to long range.
by Cpv17
Thu Dec 01, 2022 6:26 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Dec 01, 2022 6:24 pm
Cpv17 18z GFS is going in the right direction for cold
That’s good man. I haven’t looked at the models much past couple days. About to watch POW Ponders new video here in a few.
by Cpv17
Thu Dec 01, 2022 6:21 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Dec 01, 2022 4:19 pm
Global models are still iffy on if the cold air manages to get far south, guess we will see how this evolves over the next week or so
Yeah I’m still not sold yet. Trying to temper my expectations and be realistic about it.
by Cpv17
Thu Dec 01, 2022 3:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 117
Views: 3252

Re: December 2022

I live in Conroe and you DO NOT want to live in Conroe or Montgomery if you are wanting to get away from the hustle and bustle. Montgomery and Conroe are pretty much connected now and Highway 105 in-between both is a nightmare. I think that area is beautiful. Probably the best looking area in all o...