tireman4 wrote: ↑Tue May 28, 2024 1:15 pm Matt Lanza
Rain rates up I-45 toward The Woodlands are running about 3-4" per hour. Flash flooding is likely to commence soon in typical spots.

That’s a lot don’t get me wrong, but 3-4” hr rainfall rates aren’t really that crazy. I’ve had that in half an hour before.

Jason is about to get clocked.

Already 92°F here with a heat index of 107°F.

DP 78°.

Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Tue May 28, 2024 10:49 am The CAPE levels for coastal SE Texas today are mind-blowing for this late in May.
far greater than 5,000 across the board.

Damn, that’s pretty impressive. Lots of fuel out there.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Tue May 28, 2024 10:12 am Are we thinking later in the afternoon near commute time, or late this evening?

Just go look at the mesoscale models. That’s what I do.

It's extremely rare to see Surface CAPE values exceeding 8,000 J/kg anywhere across the country, any time of the year, let alone over portions of SE Texas. Yet earlier this evening between 2100Z & 2300Z, that's exactly what we saw... SPC MAP - SURFACE CAPE - 5.27.2024 - 2100.png SPC MAP - SURFA...

What’s up with all the haze outside? Smoke coming from wildfires in Mexico or something? There’s not even any sun out. Just a bunch of overcast skies and haze around. We've had haze for 10 days+. Initially there was an inversion layer and the humid air was trapped and not able to rise. Looks like a...

tireman4 wrote: ↑Mon May 27, 2024 3:15 pm

Texashawk wrote: ↑Mon May 27, 2024 11:29 am

tireman4 wrote: ↑Mon May 27, 2024 10:31 am Be careful today

What’s this show?

The purple is heat index 114..the orange, 105.

97°F here currently with a DP of 79° making it feel like 117°F. Can you say f that?

We didn’t even have a heat index that high last summer. Wild.

What’s up with all the haze outside? Smoke coming from wildfires in Mexico or something? There’s not even any sun out. Just a bunch of overcast skies and haze around.

Models are beginning to look better for some rain further south. The GFS and CMC both look a little better now compared to previous runs and the 12z HRRR has a pretty potent looking MCS moving through early Wednesday morning.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon May 27, 2024 9:36 am 90 degrees and 80% humidity at 9AM. Absolutely gross.

10:30AM here and only at 86°F.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 6:34 pm Lets wait until mesocale models come into range, globals do not do well with NW flow and any sort of disturbances embedded aloft

I agree. I believe there could be more rain further south as well like what the Euro is showing. CPC forecast looks pretty good for us.

Another day with another north of I-10 special forecast from the WPC:

Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 10:59 am Is anyone else having trouble accessing Storm2k forums?

Yes. Haven’t been able to access it all morning.

7 fatalities have been confirmed from the NTX tornado last night

I grew up at a very similar latitude and mostly similar climate in SW Louisiana. It was hot in the Summer growing up, but I’m hard pressed to remember hating Summer this much. Lol. Perhaps it’s just me getting older. Probably. The heat didn’t bother me much when I was a kid. It still doesn’t bother...

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 3:29 pm Off to the Space Cowboys game. Gonna sweat my tail off.

I hope you’re not sitting on the visitors side lol you’ll get cooked.

The 12z Euro is literally just a tease for me.

95°F here with a feels like of 106°F. DP of 73°.

Glad I don’t live where y’all do.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri May 24, 2024 2:06 pm Very active run of the euro

That Mexico ridge needs to go kick rocks. It’s also cooking the SW Gulf and BOC.