Well, that escalated quickly. 30mins ago, it had 45% and 0.40”. Lol

Google’s DeepMind AI hurricane model was just released for public consumption. According to a few seasoned mets, it vastly out-performed the ECMWF the past 2 seasons in its “Beta” runs.

Could be a game-changer….here it is:
https://deepmind.google.com/science/weatherlab

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 12, 2025 11:37 am I’m beginning to become more interested in what could happen late next week around here. If this possible disturbance rides the coast and gets sucked up N by a trough, it could be a huge rainmaker for us.

For the first time in years, I’m going to hope to God this does not come to fruition.

Over the past 3 weeks, I’ve gotten >12”, with more to come. My plants are incredibly happy. My water bill thanks the Heavens.

Talk about a Drought Buster, especially for the San Antonio region.

Some streets are beginning to flood in Alvin. Hwy 35 is flooded and closed at the railroad overpass.
Friend in Matagorda County sent me video of water getting into homes. Next round will be a gut punch.

Stay safe out there, y'all.

Does anyone know if it will rain today in the HOU metro area?

Kidding. Wow, what a gully washer.
Hail in League City. Most frequent lightning I’ve seen in a very long time, if not ever.

Thunder has been rolling since about 2:30am and my dogs have had enough, poor girls.

Stay safe, everyone.

Keep in mind though, quieter doesnt also necessarily a good thing, some of the most damaging hurricanes on record have occured in less active seasons in the atlantic, ill also point out that the gulf is well on its way to having record breaking upper ocean heat content energy, so thats something to...

Stratton, I do have to say, you kept harping for months about this Summer possibly being a lot less shitty than recent Summers and thus far,, that’s held true. I’m loving this pattern.

Correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t most of the HOU metro get exactly 0.00” of rain all of last June?

If the EPAC keeps burning through developing systems, it will likely signify a much quieter Atlantic season. It is well-documented the calming effect an active EPAC has on our end of the Basin.

Are we to expect another MCS to come through this evening? I've seen mesoscale models that indicate round 2 this evening, and others that keep it in the morning tomorrow.

Just took this on my evening walk of the storm towards Columbus. https://i.postimg.cc/fT9s9QcW/IMG-5821.jpg Howdy neighbor! Quite a lightning show last night in that one. We are new to the area, near Rock Island. I put out fertilizer in anticipation and got almost nothing. Hoping for a soaker this ...

Popcorn variety storms really firing up across the coastal counties down to Victoria. Coalescing into a broader complex as we speak.
A ton of thunder/lightning in League City right now. These things have some juice.

Slight risk has been expanded to include the metro and parts east for this evening. CAMs have all suggested that redevelopment is possible right over central Harris Co with all this daytime heating around rush hour. Keep an eye out. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GtA-wVLXIAA7W6y?format=jpg&name=90...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 07, 2025 1:11 pm Models and the WPC have significantly cut back on rainfall totals for this coming week. I would expect to start seeing rainfall chances come down.

I noticed this in my apps. Son of a %###

Guys and gals, it looks like this June will be a slosh-fest. I’m seeing steady rain chances almost daily for the next 14 days and beyond.
At least the mosquitos won’t be bad….right? Right???

Some interesting analogs about this summer ( july-september) being talked about on social media ( x) im hearing some folks talk about this summer looking similar to 2021 when we had a cooler and wetter summer here, some of the climate models, especially the NMME really keep july- september on the c...

I’m going to miss out on this green Cheeto, but I’m hopeful and optimistic about next week….

Looks like the Euro is starting to try to sniff out some organization near the tip of the Yucatán in a similar timeframe as the GFS still seems to be doubling down on its model-cane.

I'm not going to start getting interested at all if the GFS pops up a June Hurricane....especially when it's the only one to do so. I am, however, going to be checking model runs more frequently if the GFS pops up a June hurricane, the NCEP issues an above normal precip outlook, and the Global Tropi...