Well that was a wild ride here in timbergrove, glad to finally getting power back but understandable that it’s been taking them so long. I love a good strong (but well behaved) thunderstorm, but man that got dicey in a hurry. Sounded like a freight train for a good 10 minutes. Here’s to hoping that ...

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/images/mcd0276.gif Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0276 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 421 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024 Areas affected...central through southeastern Texas, western Louisiana Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid...

Tornado Watch issued.

Latest HRRR runs keep pushing the initial development out in front of the main line further south into the Houston metro. Going to need to keep an eye to our SW for that to pop here in the next couple of hours, but that has me concerned for our neighbors up north that have been hit so hard over the ...

Worst of it looks to be south of I-10. Noticed that trend on the recent HRRR runs this morning as well, keeping most of the action to the south/southwest of I-10. Models seemed to have struggled with the timing and growth out west this morning and will have to play catch up so it will be interestin...

MH5 wrote: ↑Mon May 13, 2024 8:52 am Already have a MD out for things popping out west of San Antonio with a watch incoming shortly. Today looks right on (or slightly ahead of) schedule.

And just like that, first severe watch of the day is out.

Already have a MD out for things popping out west of San Antonio with a watch incoming shortly. Today looks right on (or slightly ahead of) schedule.

Severe watches going up out west and in the panhandle, new mesoscale discussion regarding central Texas potentially needing a watch in the next few hours. Flood watch now includes Harris Co. Things finally seem to be getting started, albeit much later than what most models hinted at for most of the ...

Flood watch now includes Harris county

Both a flooding and isolated severe risk according to the latest WPC and SPC mesoscale discussions for the area overnight. At the moment it seems like the line of action generally remains the same as it has been most of the afternoon and evening, just extending now further SW. Let’s see what happens...

NW Harris Co getting dumped on and these cells don't appear to be in any kind of hurry to go anywhere. Looks like another feast or famine type of day for most of us. Hopefully that outflow can drag some of the precip back south and get a few more folks in on the action today.

Looks like everyone is in for a wet morning, but all the mesoscale models seem to propagate this initial band through at a decent clip. Think tomorrow appears to be the more concerning day for most as the low slowly pulls NE with what appears to be some healthy feeder bands. Depending on the positio...

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0244 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 905 AM EDT Tue May 09 2023 Areas affected...south-central to southeastern TX Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 091304Z - 091800Z Summary...Localized flash flooding will be possible across ...

jasons2k wrote: ↑Mon May 08, 2023 3:35 pm Why did the storms that moved across Fort Bend into Harris just vaporize when everywhere else they are building? Ugh

The Harris county forcefield is working overtime today..

Day 3 slight risk over SE Texas. spcd3prob.us_sc.png Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CDT Wed Apr 19 2023 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN NORTHEASTWARD INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA... ....

Hope the NAM 3k 18Z run hits the jackpot. Shows pretty much all of Harris Co in the 3-4" range. It's more bullish with the moisture in the morning feeding up into the low before the main line comes through later in the day.

HRRR seems to be trending down in terms of intensity and coverage for the metro area. 15Z run just barely scrapes the western half of Harris county.

18Z HRRR looks concerning in terms of slow moving / training storms & precip in and around the Houston metro overnight with some embedded nastier looking storms. Something to monitor.

Have been hovering right around 38 here most of the afternoon. Picked up a quick 1/4" of straight rain and the temp has dropped to 35.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:47 pm Thunder snow is being reported out in the hill country , wow

I find this hard to believe this early on - did you hear a location?