Search found 212 matches
- Sat Jan 30, 2016 2:33 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2016: Quiet Warm Weather To End The Month
- Replies: 177
- Views: 95749
Re: February 2016:Tracking Early Month Plains Winter Storm
Thank you for your response. I follow your forum all the time from SE La.
- Sat Jan 30, 2016 1:46 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2016: Quiet Warm Weather To End The Month
- Replies: 177
- Views: 95749
Re: February 2016:Tracking Early Month Plains Winter Storm
The 12Z ECMWF is looking very similar to the GEFS around the 240 hour timeframe. A deep cold upper Western trough with a potent storm digging into Northern Mexico with a good shot of cold air moving South out of the Plains into Texas. 01302016 12Z Euro 240 sfcmslpna.png 01302016 12Z Euro 240 500hcf...
- Thu Jan 28, 2016 9:08 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2016: Quiet Warm Weather To End The Month
- Replies: 177
- Views: 95749
Re: February 2016:Tracking Early Month Plains Winter Storm
Can you let us know what this means? Thanks! Basically we are seeing a lot of run to run volatility in the longer range guidance. Some of that volatility may be related to the various Hemispheric phenomena developing such as Polar Stratospheric Warming as well as other indices related to what actua...
- Thu Jan 28, 2016 6:18 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2016: Quiet Warm Weather To End The Month
- Replies: 177
- Views: 95749
Re: February 2016:Tracking Early Month Plains Winter Storm
Can you let us know what this means? Thanks!
- Sun Jan 24, 2016 6:57 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2016: Quiet Warm Weather To End The Month
- Replies: 177
- Views: 95749
Re: February 2016 Will Winter Arrive?
December was warm. I hope that's not happening again.
- Sun Jan 24, 2016 6:42 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2016: Quiet Warm Weather To End The Month
- Replies: 177
- Views: 95749
Re: February 2016 Will Winter Arrive?
srainhoutx wrote:Interesting pattern IF the 12Z Euro is correct...
Can you interpret this?
- Fri Jan 08, 2016 2:03 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
- Replies: 385
- Views: 184405
Re: January 2016: Severe Weather Followed By Colder Temperat
Looks like all the northern Gulf coast would! Even those of us in south Louisiana.BigThicket wrote:If the cold air flows into Texas it will move east with the expansion of the easterly migrating trough so you will get your fair share and if it were to go more east you definitely will.
- Thu Jan 07, 2016 3:08 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
- Replies: 385
- Views: 184405
Re: January 2016: Chilly & Unsettled Pattern Ahead
Beginning to see some strong signals via the ensembles of rather significant Blocking signature particularly over Greenland where heights are very impressive. Notice the developing deep trough settling well S into Mexico. We may be seeing signs via the guidance that those Teleconnection Indices may...
- Mon Jan 04, 2016 6:12 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
- Replies: 385
- Views: 184405
Re: January 2016: Chilly & Unsettled Pattern Ahead
It's way too soon to worry about temperatures much less accurately predicting the shortwave features beyond 3 to be 5 days out. That said the ensembles are advertising some mighty big Hemispheric changes are in the offing. The teleconnection indices during this progressive El Nino Winter Pattern ar...
- Mon Jan 04, 2016 5:47 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
- Replies: 385
- Views: 184405
Re: January 2016: Chilly & Unsettled Pattern Ahead
LOL, 18z GFS keeps parts of SE Texas below freezing from 288 to 384 with single digits showing up in that range. :shock: :lol: We don't need extreme cold to have wintry fun. If it's too cold, it's as though it saps all the moisture. I would take 30 to 35. Also, does anyone know if the air mass is g...
- Sat Jan 02, 2016 7:43 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
- Replies: 385
- Views: 184405
Re: January 2016: Chilly & Unsettled Pattern Ahead
Can you post the link?
- Thu Dec 31, 2015 7:33 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
- Replies: 385
- Views: 184405
Re: January 2016: Chilly & Wet New Years Weekend
Exactly!Kevin Queen wrote:harpman wrote:Not arguing with you at all, sir. Just making an observation. I remember 10 to 14 days before Christmas the GFS was showing us with snow and sleet on Christmas day here in SE Louisiana. We were 80 degrees that day.
Just goes to show you: forecast models and reality don't mix.
- Thu Dec 31, 2015 7:29 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
- Replies: 385
- Views: 184405
Re: January 2016: Chilly & Wet New Years Weekend
Not arguing with you at all, sir. Just making an observation. I remember 10 to 14 days before Christmas the GFS was showing us with snow and sleet on Christmas day here in SE Louisiana. We were 80 degrees that day.
- Thu Dec 31, 2015 7:09 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
- Replies: 385
- Views: 184405
Re: January 2016: Chilly & Wet New Years Weekend
When is the last time the GFS was right this far out? You can't go by that right now. It is going to be all over the place with this.
- Sun Dec 13, 2015 2:22 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
- Replies: 355
- Views: 164422
Re: December 2015 - Changeable Weather Pattern
I believe the 06Z took it away. Don't know what the 12Z showed.MontgomeryCoWx wrote:It was the 0zharpman wrote:MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Latest GFS has snow in Montgomery Co and far NW Harris the day after Christmas....
Which run, the 12Z?
- Sun Dec 13, 2015 1:48 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
- Replies: 355
- Views: 164422
Re: December 2015 - Changeable Weather Pattern
MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Latest GFS has snow in Montgomery Co and far NW Harris the day after Christmas....
Which run, the 12Z?
- Sun Dec 13, 2015 1:12 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
- Replies: 355
- Views: 164422
Re: December 2015 - Changeable Weather Pattern
The GFS has been flip flopping every run, so it's anyone's guess.JamieP wrote:I know we're a little under 2 weeks out here - but does anyone have an idea what the week of Christmas holds for our region? Just trying to plan some outdoor festivities for the family and kiddos - thanks!
- Fri Dec 11, 2015 8:38 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
- Replies: 355
- Views: 164422
Re: December 2015 - Warm Up/Late Week Storm System
MontgomeryCoWx wrote:I could go for a severely negative EPO and the NAO tanking.
How about some 20 degree weather Christmas week? That sounds lovely.
Look at the 18Z GFS.
- Sun Dec 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
- Replies: 355
- Views: 164422
Re: December 2015 -Split Flow/Cool Progressive Patttern
snowman65 wrote:this winter forecast just looks rediculous...I need my cold!!
Not sure what you mean.
- Tue Dec 01, 2015 4:30 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
- Replies: 355
- Views: 164422
Re: December 2015 -Split Flow/Cool Progressive Patttern
What's fun to see is that it spills over into Louisiana! ![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_e_smile.gif)
![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_e_smile.gif)