Up to 7.54” here!!

Hey look, if you’re in the front of The Woodlands, you’re technically not in a flood warning
(I’m joking of course…)

It’s been pouring here for the last couple of hours. Not sure how much as the power is out and I can’t see the old plastic gauge on the fence. The end of my street is flooded - haven’t seen that since Harvey.
Lots of folks in the area without power including Oak Ridge High School.

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0206 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 955 PM EDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...TX Hill Country into the Heart of TX Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 020200Z - 020800Z Summary...Scattered to numerous instances of flash floodi...

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 173 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 745 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-central and East Texas * Effective this Wednesday night and Thurs...

The WPC now has a moderate risk of excessive rainfall roughly from Brookshire to Porter and points north and west of there. Marginal along the coast.

Feast or famine…
I’m right on the edge.

Flood Watch National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 703 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-300-012100- /O.CON.KHGX.FA.A.0004.240502T0300Z-240503T0000Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Houston-Trinity-Madison-Walker-San Jacinto-Polk-Burleson-Brazos-Washington...

I got 1.76” at the casa. We needed it.

Just got added to the watch. A little over 2 hours to go: Watch County Notification for Watch 158 National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 845 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 TXC339-290400- /O.EXB.KHGX.TO.A.0158.000000T0000Z-240429T0400Z/ The National Weather Service has extended Tornado Watch 158 to in...

Some serious training is happening with the storms up north from College Station over towards Madisonville and beyond. Some pretty bad cells too, still...

Tornado Watch NW half of SE Texas:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0158.html

Wow, up near Seymour. I’ve driven through there so many times.

Cap is holding strong so far.

Those storms to the north sure have a lot of rotation. Don’t want any part of that! Could use some rain though.

My run felt great this morning. Humid but not muggy. Still had that hint of a chill in the air versus just being gross like a sauna.

I hope we lean to the wetter side. Otherwise it’s sprinkler time again soon.

Another busy forecast is out:
https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/2024-t ... prediction

I think it will be an extremely busy season.

FWIW these are my preliminary numbers on the Storm2k poll:

Prelim: 27/16/7 Ace: 223

1.37” here. Onto the next…

Two boundaries working south

Front now along BW8 South. Will be watching for new storms in the LLJ.