Cpv17 no kidding. about the Euro, by the time hanna was a hurricane, the euro still thought it was a depression LOL! But thats what i am concerned about this season, with it being potentially extremely active, globals models whiffing on development is something i am at least somewhat concerned about

Cpv17 you never know, it helps that the MJO will give a favorable boost for development in the region, I think the GEFS is a little too aggressive, but i also think the EPS is under doing it as well,

Hard to like summer here with these temps, nothing but misery lol

The brutal heat wont last long, Euro and GFS agree on another FROPA down the road, both clear the front off the coast

Even though it means nothing, thats the ideal scenario id love to see in the summer for us, weak tropical storm on the 18z GFS making landfall along the middle texas coast, again it means nothing, but thats exactly what i would love to see in the summer, nothing strong, but organized enough to bring...

Cpv17 Personally I think the GFS is better with seeing development, and the euro is better with 500 mb height pattern and potential paths that a storm may take, at least thats how it feels like its been the last few seasons with these two models

GFS seeing possibly some development occurring in the Western Caribbean next week? CMC kinda seeing it as well, weak low pressure forming

Don yeah, even though it is june, with gulf waters already where they are supposed to be in august, Its definitely worth watching, at the very least it should bring back rain chances It appears models are trying to bring a deep plume of moisture/ energy up from the NW caribbean/ Yucatan peninsula in...

Cpv17 good! We need a quiet stretch, well except for you lol, texas has had enough for a while

June outlook looks good!

From what im seeing this very active pattern looks to continue well into the 2nd week of june at the very least, the heat ridge remains anchored over the NW US, which will continue to leave the door open for weak fronts to move in and any disturbances imbedded in the NW flow will continue to swing i...

Overall I can’t complain about the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks from NOAA, heat ridge remains centered over the western to NW US, still favored normal to above normal precipitation across the state through the next few weeks, Euro even a little bullish on a very late season cold front making it all th...

And I jinxed it lol

Yep, thats what i expect to see more frequently this summer, nice cooling, non-severe thunderstorms

Interesting to see that i made a comment a few weeks ago saying how i believed the death ridge would set up shop more over the western US than directly over us for the summer, and that is what is reflected in the NOAA outlook at least for the next few weeks , thats why im optimistic we will have mor...

Man with all these storms the last few weeks and the damage they have caused to many , i really hope we dont have a hurricane knocking on our doorstep this season

12z Euro is even more bullish with rain opportunities for se texas over the next 10 days, widespread 4-6 inches, isolated 8+ in some areas locally!

Globals continue to come in even wetter for se texas, the 00z Euro has widespread 2-5 inch totals over the next 10 days with even a couple of pockets of 8-12 inches in north and eastern texas

00z CMC has trended really wet for se texas and central texas, even develops a cut off low out in west texas at the end of its run

It will, i dont expect month long stretches of intense heat, I think we will see more frequent opportunities for daily sea breeze thunderstorm chances, but i also think we have a much higher normal chance of being impacted by a tropical system this summer