Man with all these storms the last few weeks and the damage they have caused to many , i really hope we dont have a hurricane knocking on our doorstep this season

12z Euro is even more bullish with rain opportunities for se texas over the next 10 days, widespread 4-6 inches, isolated 8+ in some areas locally!

Globals continue to come in even wetter for se texas, the 00z Euro has widespread 2-5 inch totals over the next 10 days with even a couple of pockets of 8-12 inches in north and eastern texas

00z CMC has trended really wet for se texas and central texas, even develops a cut off low out in west texas at the end of its run

It will, i dont expect month long stretches of intense heat, I think we will see more frequent opportunities for daily sea breeze thunderstorm chances, but i also think we have a much higher normal chance of being impacted by a tropical system this summer

12z Euro looks really nice across se texas!

Lets wait until mesocale models come into range, globals do not do well with NW flow and any sort of disturbances embedded aloft

12z Euro has widespread 2-4 inches across se texas due a stalled out boundary focusing rain across central and se texas, very wet run

One thibg i will caution with the WPC rain map, I could easily see more rain in SE texas than what the map shows, especially with NW flow disturbances, the global models will likely underestimate those , lets see what happens when the short range models come into range

Looks like wednesday may be the kick starter to a wettern pattern, NAM is sniffing out a disturbance moving through se texas

The GFS and Euro both show quite the wet pattern, , still worth watching as they show the potential for numerous disturbances bringing waves of heavy rain

The ICON shows a potential heavy rain setup wednesday- friday next week, something to watch going forward

The Euro AI 12z is very bullish with rainfall over the next ~2 weeks here locally

Very active run of the euro

Upper ocean heat content map.. Folks if that isnt alarming, I dont know what is….

As Han Solo says “ I got a bad feeling about this”, buckle up folks

I really dont see any sort of big heat ridge setup in the guidance anytime soon or even perhaps for the next few weeks, GFS continues to see a couple of cold fronts sliding through over the next few weeks! We shall see

The euro (00z) is definitely wetter than the GFS

Don Levi Cowan is the best! I have a feeling hes going to be making alot of videos this season lol

Models are hinting at another frontal boundary moving down here in about 8-10 days, looks like after a brief break, the active pattern is going to be coming back soon