Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri May 05, 2023 2:28 pm Dew point is currently 76° here.. nuts!!

Mid-60s here, it was more comfortable just yesterday!

Feels like I'm in Mississippi.

POW Ponder has this
https://youtu.be/k6R4IV6rm5c

I'm going to get a lot of storms starting this weekend, May 2nd started this severe weather sequence across the Plains.

Holy bejeebers, this is from the 12z NAM MUCAPE, it's over 6000!


https://s12.gifyu.com/images/12z-NAM.png

Oh lord, that is a LOT of rain!


https://s12.gifyu.com/images/12z-GFS-Rainfall.png

Thankfully that omega block pattern wont be around long, definitely dont want that heat ridge just sitting over us, luckily the pattern ahead favors pretty wet conditions With a ridge centered over the GOM and SE, that will help to slow down any systems that approach the state, while we need the ra...

AMM is going positive!

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 29, 2023 6:08 pm 18z GFS is very wet, has a very slow moving upper low moving across the state , bringing rounds of heavy rain
total QPF next 11 days
Anytime a model shows a slow moving upper low, it does raise an eyebrow or too

Yeah, I think the 18z GFS has lost its mind.

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Apr 29, 2023 1:42 pm

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Tue Apr 18, 2023 7:23 am For me? Well, it always happens in Oklahoma during the month of May, with TORNADOES!

If I lived in OK, we would take April 15 - May 20 off, travel and hope my house is still there when I return!

That is what I did in 2022 to Florida!

We're currently on a 4-day streak of double-digit Daily SOI values!

Legit SOI crash, yesterday's daily SOI was at -19.97, and today is -26.39

I nearly got hit with several tornadoes, they missed me to the north

For me? Well, it always happens in Oklahoma during the month of May, with TORNADOES!

Are y’alls cars ok? That’s insane. Dont know yet. Still hailing and pouring. I think so, but Im afraid Ill get knocked out just to check. Lol Yes I sent pics to our local news and NWSLC. (Our NWS). It would be nice to film the hailstorm down there! (And not being struck by the hailstones of course)

djmike wrote: ↑Sat Apr 15, 2023 8:58 pm BE170966-F393-47D9-B234-7C8A75C493AF.jpeg

Are you going to send these to the NWS?

Can anyone ID this over San Antonio?


https://s12.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot ... .32-PM.png

It's hailing again. This is at least the third time it's hailed in the past few hours. Here's a few pics of the first round from my neighbors. https://i.ibb.co/HxWFrKX/FB-IMG-1681607043346.jpg https://i.ibb.co/6D25cYg/FB-IMG-1681607062997.jpg logo png site https://i.ibb.co/hR2g2NF/FB-IMG-1681607073...

Next Wednesday and Thursday could be crazy

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 13, 2023 6:16 pm Both the Euro and GFS are trending much wetter in the medium/long range fwiw

And more Supercells for me...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Apr 07, 2023 10:00 am

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Fri Apr 07, 2023 8:50 am SOI index is spiking, but it could be contaminated by Tropical Low 23U.

It better not be spiking!

Yeah, it is likely contaminated by 23U as it's within 200 miles of Darwin

Daily SOI is at +30, but 30-Day SOI is -2.45.