We're really getting to a point now where we are truly desperate for rain. Texas has declared a wildfire disaster declaration and Louisiana has declared a state of emergency due to the dry and hot weather conditions. People are being evacuated from homes in Sabine Parish, Louisiana due to a spreadin...

It rained on me when I got to Starkville on Saturday afternoon. I was thinking to myself, "what is this stuff?" Haha! Today though, I seem to have brought the hot weather with me. It is currently about 100 outside. This drought is really sad for so many areas. It was rather brown most of m...

I usually tail gate for a bit, but i like to get into kyle field early, those student sections fill up so fast haha I hate the 11AM start times. Absolutely horrible. Those should be banned in the South. Leave that for the B1G and B12. Yes! We are playing LSU on the 16th at 11am and I bet it will be...

The CMC and its ensembles and even the EPS are getting interesting, and it make sense that they are, favorable pulse of rising air overspreads the western atlantic after the 10-11th ish, definitely should allow for a more favorable environment for something to happen And the ridge over Texas moves ...

Euro really pushes the ridge out west by days 7-10. It's over Arizona and Cali, but also another interesting feature out east develops. A strong Bermuda ridge appears to really start developing which concerns me because a door will likely open up in the Gulf. Euro ensembles in extreme long range eve...

August weather is usually brutal in the first half. After that, anything could definitely happen. I never trust a ridge even if it sits in one position for a whole summer.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sat Jul 22, 2023 9:20 pmSo close….

Not surprised to see storms in Louisiana and extreme SE TX with the front. It was 82 when I got out of the gym here this evening at 7 pm. It felt amazing because the humidity is significantly lower! Expecting a low this evening of about 65 too!

A few days ago, but Brooks Garner FOX 35 ** 97°F (36°C) Water off Florida ** Johnson Key, 25.05 N,-80.91 W Normally it's 88°-90°F (~32°C) this time of year. [https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=jkyf1] Ideal hot tub temperature: 100°-102° The GoM stew is cooking. Once the ridge begins...

12z GFS looks good for rain on the 23rd and 24th. It would be interesting if we start seeing troughing heading into August. The door could potentially open up if the ridge starts shifting away/breaking down. Sometimes the "death ridge" is nowhere around when tropical trouble threatens. Fo...

Cpv17 good point, if I remember correctly, didnt hurricane IKE do something like that? formed in the central atlantic and shot through the florida straits on its way to texas Kinda. It actually went just south of there over Cuba but really close to the Straits. Hurricane Ike had one of the most won...

More than likely, the models are not going to pick up well in advance of any pattern changes. They usually happen in the medium to short time range for models. Long-range is more likely to show a continuation of a stagnant pattern from model biases.

I wish I could send this rain in Mississippi to Texas. It has been raining here almost every day and rained several inches today alone.

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sun Jun 25, 2023 2:13 pm Dewpoint is 77°F, this is just insanity...


In Central Oklahoma!

I am sharing in your misery. 79 dewpoint here in Starkville with a 110 heat index. High today around 97 and by the end of the week, highs will be 100-102. This pattern needs to move on!

It's always the "magic wall" between Beaumont and Houston. At least Chambers and Liberty ensure that somewhere in Greater Houston gets some action. But now things seem to be petering out as soon as they reach Harris (unless, maybe, a sea-breeze moves in to interact with any remnant outflo...

So much for the big bad El Nino that was suppose to help us. If I can remember correctly, and a Pro or Amateur Met can step in, we are in a building El Nino. It is not fully on, yet. We are still in a transition phase. I also made the point earlier this month that El Niño really doesn't have much o...

I will try to push this rain here in Starkville down to Southeast Texas. Lots of thunderstorms here this evening and it seems like it has been raining almost every day the past week.

Man that 00z GFS is absolutely brutal☠️☠️☠️ talk about a blast furnace, thats phoenix arizona kinda of heat And what is really funny is that the GFS has the ridge build right on top of Texas towards the end of the run yet temperatures are cooler? That makes zero sense especially when it is showing ...

We are having really bad weather today in Mississippi. There was 5 inch hail 15 miles southeast of me and also numerous trees are down across much of central MS.

Models often get too excited about building ridges in early summer. They also seem to like to dry out our dewpoints too much. I've seen some of these models runs with intense 110°F+ heat across Texas, venturing into Louisiana: I switch to the modeled dews, and they are down to the low 50s, numbers ...

Lots of smoke (I guess that’s what it is?) around this morning. Haze. There's also plentiful cloud cover over the skies as well. Combined with higher sustained dewpoints (as opposed to the more aggressive modeled mixing), the result has been for highs to underperfom a few degrees so far this heatwa...