The new watch coming out will be for the same region except it will exclude Austin and Waller counties.

weatherguy425 wrote:Storm in northern Chambers nearing or more than 65 dbz. Should go severe soon.

Radar is indicating 1.62'' hail with those storms.

Based on current trends, I would say areas along and south/east of US 59 look to have the greatest chances for seeing a strong to severe storm.

Interesting how right as the storms move out of Texas and into southwest LA they really explode as they are able to tap into the greater instability as seen in the 00z LCH sounding.

The widespread cloud cover and slow return of the warm front today looks to have really minimized our overall severe potential. We will have to watch things a little more closely as the front moves toward the I-10 corridor and south where a better moisture and instability currently reside. It will b...

Looking at some RUC model soundings over IAH, there is quite a bit of instability out there so we could see a few strong storms if the cap can be broken with hail being the main threat from any of the stronger activity. Right now, the front looks to be draped between IAH and DWH with a very slow sou...

It will be interesting to watch the radar over the next couple of hours. SPC mesoanalysis shows some decent moisture convergence across our central counties along the frontal boundary. Temperatures have warmed into the lower and middle 80s with some breaks in the clouds. Seeing some vertical develop...

It looks like we are going to have to wait until early next week, around the 14th or so before we see some beneficial rains. Medium range progs have been hinting at some decent energy making its way a bit further south across the region next Monday. This morning's 12z GFS continues to show some type...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1130 PM CST THU FEB 3 2011 .AVIATION... NUMEROUS REPORTS OF -FZRA TO -SN FROM 03Z THIS EVENING. RADAR SHOWING AREAWIDE COVERAGE OF EITHER LIGHT RAIN/FREEZING RAIN/ICE PELLETS/LIGHT SNOW AS TEMPERATURES HOVER A FEW DEGREES OF EITH...

Should slowly see things continue to change over towards snow as the atmosphere cools down via evaporation cooling and dynamic cooling associated with the UL. Current forecasts look to be on track. Roads are extremely dangerous now and travel is discouraged through tomorrow morning. Stay safe out t...

Should slowly see things continue to change over towards snow as the atmosphere cools down via evaporation cooling and dynamic cooling associated with the UL. Current forecasts look to be on track. Roads are extremely dangerous now and travel is discouraged through tomorrow morning. Stay safe out th...

Currently HGX radar showing a lot of light returns signifying some freezing rain/drizzle along with the occasional snow flake, especially just west and northwest of the metro area. The latest RUC mesoanalysis and model soundings show some what of a warm layer around 850 across eastern sections of t...

Currently HGX radar showing a lot of light returns signifying some freezing rain/drizzle along with the occasional snow flake, especially just west and northwest of the metro area. The latest RUC mesoanalysis and model soundings show some what of a warm layer around 850 across eastern sections of th...

It seems like there is a lot of people who are pretty nervous about the current moisture values being too low. PW's are already above where they were during the 2004 event, so I believe the moisture is there; it is the upper level dynamics that are still lacking a bit to really supply the needed lif...

As far as the Sat night/Sun morning severe threat, 12z progs do not indicate much instability; however the impressive upper level dynamics and wind energy aloft should be enough for storms south of the warm front to produce damaging winds and maybe an isolated tornado. Right now my current thinking ...

Main concern this afternoon is going to be the flooding threat as the storms are developing on the northern side of the surface boundary. NWS has just issued an urban and small stream flood advisory for Harris county until 645pm. There is a lot of heavy rain getting ready to train into western Harri...

There has been some weak rotation on the Wharton county storm up around 10-11 thousand feet but nothing too significant. Surface analysis indicates a low level boundary has setup just south of Houston, running from central Galveston bay across northern Galveston county, northern Brazoria, southern F...

Will have to keep an eye on the redevelopment to our southwest as the latest surface analysis is indicating better moisture starting to stream into our southwest counties along the nose of a 50kt 850mb jet stream. This will continue to provide plenty of lift across southeast Texas through the early ...

Lightning is increasing with the storms approaching from the southwest. Damaging winds look to be the main threat with the Wharton county storms; however some weak rotation has been showing up over the past 10 min or so. Watch out across southern Fort Bend and northwestern Brazoria counties that is ...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1039 AM CST WED DEC 29 2010 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WESTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS... FORT BEND COUNTY IN SO...