SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/11/12 0942Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0915Z JANKOT . LOCATION...LOUISIANA...TEXAS... . ATTN WFOS...LCH...HGX...CRP...EWX... ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC... . EVENT...HEAVY RAINS IN SE TX . SATELLI...

As Jeff mentioned...am concerned that heavier rain may begin to organize closer to the US 59 corridor across portions of the metro area over the next several hours. On another note, there is a ton of lightning associated with the thunderstorms across western Matagorda into southern Jackson county.

FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 441 AM CDT WED JUL 11 2012 TXZ213-226-227-235>238-111745- /O.NEW.KHGX.FF.A.0005.120711T0941Z-120711T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BRAZORIA-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-HARRIS-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-WHARTON- INCLUDING THE CIT...

It is a rainy morning across southern sections of southeast Texas with a Flood Watch forthcoming for areas along and south of US 59 and west of I-45 until 1pm which includes Houston and Harris county. Large slow moving complex of showers and thunderstorms continues to slowly develop across our south...

Showers and thunderstorms developing pretty much like what was advertised by most of the high resolution models yesterday afternoon and evening. Activity continues to slowly increase in coverage and spread inland out of our coastal counties where rain rates up to 2-3 inches per hour have been noted ...

srainhoutx wrote:

svrwx0503 wrote:Pretty strong storm moving toward the Copperfield area. Harris county rain gauge at Bear Creek and FM 529 has recorded almost 1'' of rain in 30 min. Could also have some pea sized hail.

Yeah, Matt. Just received a quick inch up here with frequent CG lightening.

Any hail?

Pretty strong storm moving toward the Copperfield area. Harris county rain gauge at Bear Creek and FM 529 has recorded almost 1'' of rain in 30 min. Could also have some pea sized hail.

Decent amount of lightning associated with the shower and thunderstorm activity moving in from the west. There could be some small hail with with the stronger activity.

Not much change this evening with the 00z GFS in regards to precip timing on Thursday. I am not buying the GFS's solution of hanging up the upper low over northwest Texas through the end of next weekend at this time and will be siding closer to the ECMWF's more progressive solution at this time. It ...

It looks like the country will get a break from all of the active weather this weekend through early next week before the next storm system develops out west. 00z GFS continues the trend started by the 18z run this afternoon of developing a cut-off low across the Four-Corners region early Wednesday,...

Circulation looks to be weakening some as it has broadened out, still very heavy rain, hail and strong winds along with additional tornadoes possible in the College Station area over the next hour. KCLL just reported 1.24'' of rain in the last 50min!

Getting reports of a possible tornado on the ground near Snook. It looks to be located 5 miles southwest of KCLL moving northeast around 10-15mph. If it remains on the ground it will likely come very close to the airport and Texas A&M. Hail core currently approaching the west and southwest sides...

Most impressive velocity signature of the day with some strong rotation not very far above the ground. It looks like it might have just missed Snook to the northwest. I would bet that there is at least a funnel cloud with this storm.

GRK radar indicating a nice hook echo and rotational couplet passing right over or just west of Snook. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 636 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNIN...

No real changes to my previous thinking after examining the latest model data. The atmosphere will become moderately unstable across southeast Texas during the day on Friday; however all of the best lift will be off to the northwest of the region which is where the greatest risk for severe weather w...

Any further info on the severe wx dynamics for Friday? My main attention this morning has been with assessing the thunderstorm potential for this afternoon as the 12z progs and high resolution models have been suggesting some decent instability around the region. Currently watching strong thunderst...

As several of you have mentioned, the southern portion of the line is really starting to get its act together with the cell just southeast of Rock Island in central Colorado county starting to show signs of rotation. Also the storm in Waller county that srain mentioned also showing signs of rotation...

Thanks for the information. I'm wondering if it's going to be so bad that school will be cancelled. There are some parents who are keeping their kids home tomorrow in anticipation of dangerous weather and possible flooding. Since the worst of the weather isn't forecast to move through the metro are...

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0065 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1134 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...EDWARDS PLATEAU...HILL COUNTRY...S-CNTRL TX CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 13... VALID 250534Z - 250630Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 13 CONTINUES. PRIMARILY A SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING...

Latest mesoanalysis indicates shear continues to increase across the region this evening. Seeing a slow increase in showers between SAT and HOU which is usually an indication of the arrival of stronger large scale lift. Very strong jet dynamics are starting to spread into the state from the west wit...