SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1025 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. THE VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF MARTINIQUE CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...AN AIR FORCE...

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2011 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE VERY LOW IN THE AREA...AN...

Still at 30% ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DON LOCATED ABOUT 120 MI...

Andrew wrote:Concerning to me is the shear causing a south and west tilted storm which is usually opposite of what you get.

What does this mean for Don?

It has been renumbered to 91L Time for a new Topic, then rnmm. You do the Honors... ;) BEGIN NHC_ATCF invest_al912011.invest FSTDA R U 040 010 0000 201107290409 NONE NOTIFY=ATRP END INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2011, DB, O, 2011072900, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912011 AL, 91, 2011072800, , ...

BEGIN NHC_ATCF invest_al912011.invest FSTDA R U 040 010 0000 201107290409 NONE NOTIFY=ATRP END INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2011, DB, O, 2011072900, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912011 AL, 91, 2011072800, , BEST, 0, 78N, 326W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 91, 2011072806, , BEST, 0, 79N, 3...

It has been renumbered to 91L

1. A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 20 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE... 20 PERCENT ...OF BECOMING A TROPIC...

We still looking at decent rain chances for our area? Just curious.

Thank you to everyone for all the updates. I was also one who had "wrote this storm off"

Just an FYI: 3 of our members are planning to intercept any future Don. HurricaneJosh, Scott747 and Met Tech. Josh and Cory have been worrking to fine tune some wind sampling equipment in San Antonio this week. We wish them a safe and successful intercept. Good Luck guys!! Stay safe!! This is a gre...

Up to 70% TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF ...

Thank you. So in reality it really isn't heat lightning but lightning from a storm further away?

wxman57 wrote:

ticka1 wrote:

wxman57 wrote:Double that 40% and it's closer to reality.

So wxman57 is saying 80%?

No, 79.5%

TOO FUNNY!!!

Up to 40% TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA JUST TO THE SOUTH OF EXTREME WESTERN CUB...

I was wanting to know if someone way more knowledgeable than me could tell me if heat lightning exists...is it real is what I mean? My son and I were discussing it and we were wondering. Thank you.

90L has now been reactivated!

For what it's worth the 12Z Euro hangs onto just enough 850mb and 500mb vorticity to make things interesting as 90L travels WNW through the Yucatan Channel toward S TX and motion is slowing... Glad to have you back Srain! Maybe places in Texas will get some much needed rain without all the other ho...

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY...LOCATED ABOUT 590 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES. 1. A WELL-D...

2 PM Update....still at 20% . A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CH...