Search found 737 matches

by Belmer
Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:08 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2022
Replies: 867
Views: 63781

Re: January 2022

All I'm seeing out of the models is a volatile Pacific west-to-east flow with a few disturbances riding along the Pacific jet giving us some opportunities for some rain over the next 2+ weeks. Definitely don't see the warmth this month like we saw in December, but with below normal snow pack across ...
by Belmer
Fri Dec 17, 2021 3:37 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2021
Replies: 369
Views: 40386

Re: December 2021

As for Christmas forecast.. GFS (06z) says 80s (mid to upper 80s near and west of Dallas). Euro has been trending cooler in the latest runs with mid 60s. Pretty large disagreement on the upper-level pattern come next weekend between the two. One thing they agree on is a dry forecast which would be ...
by Belmer
Fri Dec 17, 2021 3:27 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2021
Replies: 369
Views: 40386

Re: December 2021

Yep,I also notice the mesoscale models are showing an impulse moving in ahead of the front tomorrow.Producing possibly some semi discreet cells before a storm complex or weak MCS moves in with the front.Any discreet cells that do develop ahead of the front tomorrow could have a tornado risk. Yeah, ...
by Belmer
Fri Dec 17, 2021 1:16 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2021
Replies: 369
Views: 40386

Re: December 2021

Don't let tomorrow's weather catch you off guard with the main focus being some potentially hefty rainfall totals across our region. Looking over some soundings and model data this morning, wouldn't rule out some locations picking up 2-3+ inches with PWs in the 1.6-1.8" range which is nearing +2 st...
by Belmer
Fri Dec 17, 2021 10:41 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2021
Replies: 369
Views: 40386

Re: December 2021

Don't let tomorrow's weather catch you off guard with the main focus being some potentially hefty rainfall totals across our region. Looking over some soundings and model data this morning, wouldn't rule out some locations picking up 2-3+ inches with PWs in the 1.6-1.8" range which is nearing +2 sta...
by Belmer
Tue Nov 30, 2021 4:33 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2021
Replies: 369
Views: 40386

Re: December 2021

If I didn't know better, 20 pages into a thread in which the month hasn't even started yet, I'd think there would be an incoming blizzard later this week. We all need to remember, models are just one tool in a very large toolbox. This forum wouldn't be where it is today without the many great dialog...
by Belmer
Fri Oct 22, 2021 12:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2021
Replies: 245
Views: 47263

Re: October 2021

Belmer so in other words, our weather here is going to suck for the next 2-3 weeks I'll go with uneventful as I'm not too bothered by it as I do enjoy the the overall pleasant weather we've had of late. However, it would be nice to pick up some measurable rain with these fronts that swing through. ...
by Belmer
Fri Oct 22, 2021 10:48 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2021
Replies: 245
Views: 47263

Re: October 2021

Very La Niña like right now. Few troughs pass through over the next 10-14 days, but nothing abnormal on the horizon. Rain will also hard to come by with any of the aforementioned troughs. Was hoping TD17-E (soon to be Rick) would deliver, but looking like much of the remnant moisture will move towar...
by Belmer
Tue Sep 14, 2021 1:03 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
Replies: 1416
Views: 196474

Re: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas

Well after Harvey hit that winter we had snow....soooooooo...maybe after nick we will have...do I dare say it? Ha. I was just about to post about this. Fingers crossed for a winter treat now that Nicholas said hello. ;) Looks like you got a good hit down near Freeport last night, Kingwood. Hope the...
by Belmer
Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:03 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
Replies: 1416
Views: 196474

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

When will you know if these numbers verify? I'd like to see a dominant low-level circulation develop that we can track. I see a vigorous eddy that could be it. Further NW than where NHC has it and did line up with the Euro a bit better as far as position. Euro has been more of the outlier on the ex...