brazoriatx wrote: ↑Fri Aug 19, 2022 1:14 pm 99L now has a 70% chance

I’m so confused. If this is going to be a significant tropical system in this area, why does the RGV have almost a zero inch 7-day QPF forecast?

This has been a crazy quiet hurricane season so far, and we’re only a few weeks from the peak of the season already!

I have to say, the NWS usually gets it right but this was a huge miss this time. Hope Lake Charles NWS gave their region some warning.

This is the biggest bust since Dolly Parton exited the plastic surgeons office

I think it’s so damn dry in South Texas we’re seeing the ‘Don Effect’: it’s literally obliterating any attempted development as it tries to wrap near land.

Is there a reason the rain just stops about 15 miles inland? It’s like a fence is set up and the rain dies

The WPC just tweeted this, they mention rainfall rates could be as high as 3-4" an hour. I just have the feeling this is going to be significantly less than advertised. Seems like there’s not enough convection to bring a lot of rain in. Are they expecting significant development of convection ...

don wrote: ↑Tue Jun 28, 2022 3:07 pm New 18Z Tropical models.

Mmmm…. 3 days over bath water. Fantastic.

It does appear to be creeping NNE now (the big blob in the Gulf) Maybe all hope is not lost?

If I had relatives in Bryan, on a scale of 1-10, how concerned should they be right now? Serious question.

And Fort Hood radar is off again. At the worst possible moment.

mcheer23 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 10:52 am15z RAP

God, I can’t even imagine what 1.25+ Inches of ice would do to an urban area’s power grid and trees…

Looks like the front is just about to Navasota, but temps don’t seem to be dropping much behind it

Looking at winds from weather stations, it looks like the front is already just north of CS. Why are they saying it won’t get there until 6 PM?

It must have been snow
But it's over now
It must have been cold
But it’s too warm somehow
It must have been snow
But it's over now
From the moment we looked
For the Gulf cut off low

-Me, Friday evening

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Jan 20, 2022 8:40 am Even though they are saying bulk of frozen precip is south of I10, my forecast only gets me down to 33 at the coldest. I just see this being cold and nasty.

Wet bulbing. Hopefully.

FWIW, Fox 26 lead with the possibility of winter weather, and Dr. Jim seems somewhat bullish about it!

TXDOT will be pre treating major roads and bridges in 10 Counties in the Corpus WFO Region. Interesting. Who advises TXDoT? The regional WOs or the NWS at large? I just feel like this could really creep up on people, and after last February’s ice storms, a little transparency from all involved coul...

And yet none of the main meteorologists in the area appear the least concerned. Clearly they’re seeing something to dampen their concerns, especially since we’re within 2-3 days of the event.

Dls2010r wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:06 pm I’m confused. I’m in Santa Fe. What are we looking at. CPV says it’s a non event. I’m just like where’s it going cause it looks like a mess to me.

It’s all relative. If you live in College Station, it probably will be a non-event. If you live in Freeport, you may have a colorful night.