I guess the flip flopping isn't done. I don't understand how this system would move north with that ridge sitting there. GFS is more organized on the 18z run, main reason it sends it northeast is the breakdown in ridging paired with a ridge that is supposed to develop right over Texas. I am a littl...

Very impressive rainfall accumulation rates with the complex drifting southward from Waco . . accumulating more than 3 inches per hour via Doppler . . more than 10 inches has fallen north and east of Waco . . drifting toward SE Texas..

I'm right down the road from you on Woodlands Parkway. They were talking about the upper low going through core phase rainfall, but I didn't hear mention of the surface low, I was wondering if it was going to go through a nocturnal core phase type event tonight. this makes me nervous - that's why I ...

I don't know, but what was previously green/yellow on the radar has, in the last 30 minutes, grown to red and orange. We now have lightning and thunder along with the rain. I haven't missed a single refreshing of the radar in hours. lol I'm watching . . I think this is in response to the approachin...

is the blip north of Victoria the surface low? roughly? associated with it? everything's popping

firing in Houston metro..

firing along the coast..

I have this weird feeling that what I expected Saturday will come today instead. haha

Thankfully for those that were flooded out of their homes we dodged the worst of the Heavy Rainfall. I do see that there have been 5 deaths, some children in East Texas from this event...so far. Not sure "hype" is a word I would use regarding what was posted here in this forum or even fro...

Cromagnum wrote:Nailed it.

When nobody expects it or really talks about it we get hammered.

When its been hyped up all week nothing happens.

Figures.

exactly

now to start watching to see if the tail end starts to drag at all

really starting to see the radar fill in as the mcs from central texas catches up to the front firing ahead of it.

Ounce wrote:Seems like we were all decked out for the party, but the band never showed...or just the girl with the tambourine.

When we expect it it doesn't happen and when we don't, it does. Weird

been watching the severe storm moving only very slightly sw of Waco tonight. rainfall accumulations radar estimated at 2-3 inches per hour and over 4 inches accumulated there now. interesting little spot

how much rain are we expecting from the Mexico disturbance tomorrow morning? looks to be headed our direction IMHO http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

redneckweather wrote:Storms popping up ahead of the main line. Looks like another nice wet day.

indeed... appears to be thickening and filling in between the two systems as well

It is moving fast. My only concern is I have seen a few runs slowing this line or even stalling before moving off the coast. Hopefully it will make it offshore! At this point, no more rain is needed. I've been wondering if all of the water on the ground would help it strengthen at all. interesting ...

what time zone does jeff live in?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

weak disturbance moving in from gulf
*edit to add: sun's out here NW harris/ W montgomery

is that the next disturbance near eagle pass there?