Search found 1473 matches

by Scott747
Fri Apr 28, 2023 10:50 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2023
Replies: 562
Views: 29484

Re: April 2023

Cromagnum wrote:
Fri Apr 28, 2023 10:41 pm
This thunder is something else.
Echoes from the Gulf...;)
by Scott747
Sun Dec 11, 2022 1:42 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 98096

Re: December 2022

I’m going to be taking some ITM BOIL options with a 12/16 expiration first thing tomorrow morning. I expect to make a quick buck on these. Puts or calls? I noticed one of your posts recently musing that a snap back was weather related but it was likely an organic quick rally with natty recently dow...
by Scott747
Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:42 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47573

Re: September 2022

So here's the bad news as everyone wakes up this morning.... 6z GFS continues its rather substantial w trend with a large cat 3/4 about 200 mi e and s of Matagorda and Cameron moving n and making landfall just e of Cameron. Here's the good news - It's still in the 10 day range and almost guaranteed ...
by Scott747
Wed Sep 21, 2022 10:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47573

Re: September 2022

0z GFS continues to trend w ever so slightly. Comes off the YP again n of Merida and gets just w of Grand Isle before crawling in the central gulf through hr 213. Windfield is off the charts. Coastal flooding would be an issue for the upper texas coast even with it that far away. Slow movement nnw a...
by Scott747
Wed Sep 21, 2022 5:23 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47573

Re: September 2022

18z GFS is way w midway through the run.... Exiting the YP near Merida around hr 165. Ends up getting about as far w as Grand Isle before drifting n towards the missip mouth. Landfall is similar to 12z as it scoots ne and near Pensacola. Still not seeing anything that would concern our area. Missin...
by Scott747
Wed Sep 21, 2022 4:45 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47573

Re: September 2022

18z GFS is way w midway through the run....

Exiting the YP near Merida around hr 165.
by Scott747
Wed Sep 21, 2022 10:46 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47573

Re: September 2022

6z Euro had a small shift w on the mid range. The disturbance is still quite far s and essentially beginning to crash into SA before it's supposed to begin lifting wnw, so I think there will continue to be subtle adjustments w through the Caribbean. However, we're getting into a window that there w...
by Scott747
Wed Sep 21, 2022 9:38 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47573

Re: September 2022

6z Euro had a small shift w on the mid range. The disturbance is still quite far s and essentially beginning to crash into SA before it's supposed to begin lifting wnw, so I think there will continue to be subtle adjustments w through the Caribbean. However, we're getting into a window that there wo...
by Scott747
Tue Sep 20, 2022 11:05 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47573

Re: September 2022

Lack of organization could allow 98l to get a little further w into the Caribbean. But for now there is fairly good consensus on the trough picking it up before moving any further w once it nears the gulf. 18z had the trough dig a little deeper but it wasn't as strong and eroded a little quicker bu...
by Scott747
Tue Sep 20, 2022 9:55 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47573

Re: September 2022

Lack of organization could allow 98l to get a little further w into the Caribbean. But for now there is fairly good consensus on the trough picking it up before moving any further w once it nears the gulf. 18z had the trough dig a little deeper but it wasn't as strong and eroded a little quicker but...