Search found 1451 matches

by Scott747
Thu Aug 11, 2022 4:34 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2022
Replies: 419
Views: 10759

Re: August 2022

It's extremely tepid but there's now enough 'model support' to cast an eye off the mid texas coast in the next 48+ hours. At best there might be enough of a weak circulation (not a TD) that tries to form before going inland from Matagorda and s. Could be enough to sling some moisture up our way but ...
by Scott747
Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:19 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

Recon just finished their mission and needless to say they didn't find much. Believe or not the axis/low is still generally ese/e of Corpus and drifting N/NW Remain cautiously optimistic that into the evening and overnight hours that rain will shift into areas of SE Texas as it nears the coast and l...
by Scott747
Wed Jun 29, 2022 4:15 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Jun 29, 2022 3:47 pm
Scott747 what time is the mission scheduled for tonight?
Should depart around 1030 and first 'fix' will be about two or three hours later.
by Scott747
Wed Jun 29, 2022 3:43 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

Second pass/fix shows an ever so slight pressure drop. Definitely not enough to warrant an upgrade. Should get another pass or two but likely will have to wait for the mission tonight before there is any upgrade.
by Scott747
Wed Jun 29, 2022 2:39 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

Recon so far has been unimpressive though that's not surprising. Definitely isn't a depression yet but could be close enough to begin PTC advisories. The latest set of obs might be enough. Should know in the next 30 min if they decide to go with a PTC.
by Scott747
Wed Jun 29, 2022 9:33 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

It's still quite disorganized but is at least beginning to look like a tropical system with some curvature taking shape around the overall system. Nice initial coordinates from yesterday for the recon flight (O) later today with the area just to the e and drifting w trying to take hold. Web capture_...
by Scott747
Wed Jun 29, 2022 8:45 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

Definitely looks like Houston and points east of there are gonna get some pretty good rain. If it continues to dip to the SW and the energy doesn't fully transfer to the convention to the n before it begins to lift then I think down your way and towards Matagorda could see some decent rain. If it t...
by Scott747
Wed Jun 29, 2022 7:50 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

They have a cone for the ptc out by the Caribbean. It is moving too fast to have a closed circulation and isn't a cyclone yet. The same could be done with our little system at the discretion of nhc. Correct. PTC 2 is another perfect example and was initiated because of the potential threat to the s...
by Scott747
Wed Jun 29, 2022 7:44 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

Which point do they start issuing a track/cone? I know its too early, but if we now have model plots shouldn’t a cone be created also soon. I know some changes were made over the last year or so but just curious. TIA A few years back they started what's called PTC advisories. Even if a closed circu...
by Scott747
Wed Jun 29, 2022 7:37 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 46278

Re: June 2022

Stratton20 wrote:
Tue Jun 28, 2022 2:14 pm
djmike they wont put out a cone until a closed low forms, but I see why you would ask that though
This is misleading and incorrect.