Search found 1216 matches

by Scott747
Fri Jun 18, 2021 11:23 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front

Scott747 notice how I said if a storm is within 10 days the. it bears watching and thats exactly what I said in these posts, unless that storm shows up inside of 10 days on the GFS and not 16 days out then its something to watch, im not trying to argue over this anymore, I didnt join this weather g...
by Scott747
Fri Jun 18, 2021 10:49 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021

Stratton20 wrote:
Sat Jun 05, 2021 1:18 pm
12z Euro is definitely developing something in the central gulf around the 14th. Looks like we will have to watch the gulf next week
I agree!
by Scott747
Fri Jun 18, 2021 10:47 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021

Stratton20 wrote:
Sat Jun 05, 2021 1:20 am
00z Euro run definitely is trying to spin up some sort of tropical system in the bay of Campeche around 9 days from now, definitely seeing a strong signal from the models here
You don't say. :)
by Scott747
Fri Jun 18, 2021 10:46 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021

Stratton20 wrote:
Fri Jun 04, 2021 7:18 pm
Cp17 yeah I noticed this as well on the Euro, definitely going to watch it as it has ensemble support and the CMC model also is showing something in the BOC by days 8-9
Hmm.
by Scott747
Fri Jun 18, 2021 10:17 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front

Stratton20 wrote:
Fri Jun 18, 2021 8:53 am
CPV17 Anything beyond 7-10 days in the GFS just gets ignored , not even worth watching
I hate to pick on you but this is just a bad statement. Go back in this very thread 10 days ago and look what was being discussed. ;)
by Scott747
Wed Jun 16, 2021 7:03 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021: Watching The Bay of Campeche

djmike wrote:
Wed Jun 16, 2021 6:31 am
Did models shift back east?
The 6z gfs did. More towards central la with most of the weather displaced to the e.
by Scott747
Wed Jun 16, 2021 4:38 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021: Watching The Bay of Campeche

The experimental hurricane model (HAFS) that's currently undergoing testing to replace the HWRF had a sizable shift w on the 0z run from the border to around Sargent/Surfside on late Saturday. Can't say I'm buying it yet after one run but something to monitor going forward for not only this system b...
by Scott747
Fri Jun 11, 2021 12:25 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021

Ah That must be on the pacific side Yep. It’s been highlighted there for awhile now. I was never concerned about the area the NHC had highlighted in the Caribbean. This possible system would be an EPAC crossover into the BOC. The thing is that it's essentially the same system. The NHC never jumped ...
by Scott747
Thu Jun 10, 2021 11:36 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021

Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:23 pm
When do yall think the NHC will come out with a highlighted area to watch in the BOC?, the EURO has the disturbance entering the gulf on sunday
The area that the Euro is depicting is already highlighted. ;)
by Scott747
Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:48 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front
Replies: 855
Views: 24152

Re: June 2021

For those that aren’t aware (and I wasn’t aware of this for the longest time) , the Euro model has 51 ensemble members that make up the EPS while the GFS model has 21 ensemble members that make up the GEFS. I’ve been following the weather closely for over 10 years now and I just recently learned th...