Search found 960 matches

by don
Thu Apr 22, 2021 9:14 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

Yes,there's a chance especially south of I-10 that the cap may struggle to break.But looking at a few of the 12z mesoscale models and global models most show the cap breaking.But things may be more conditional for the coastal tier of counties.
by don
Thu Apr 22, 2021 8:55 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

12z NAM still showing discreet supercells over the area.
by don
Wed Apr 21, 2021 2:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

I don't like the look of the 3k NAM showing numerous discreet supercells moving from the gulf, and supercell clusters over the area.
by don
Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:00 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

After looking at some of the 12z models i wouldn't be surprised at all to see most of the area locally to be under an enhanced risk Friday,and maybe even a moderate risk for severe weather in northeast Texas where shear will be greater. There looks to be 2 main rounds of storms,the first with the wa...
by don
Wed Apr 21, 2021 7:50 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

day3otlk_0730.gif Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CDT Wed Apr 21 2021 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe th...
by don
Wed Apr 21, 2021 7:36 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

Still have to get through Friday first but models are already showing another severe weather/ heavy rain setup this coming Tuesday/Wednesday fwiw.
by don
Tue Apr 20, 2021 3:00 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 317 PM CDT Tue Apr 20 2021 .LONG TERM [Wednesday Night Through Tuesday]... Surface high pressure slides off to the east going into Wednesday night bringing back a southeasterly flow to the region. Still expecting another night of...
by don
Tue Apr 20, 2021 9:22 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

This is looking to be more of a severe weather event more than flooding.Saying that, street flooding especially in urban areas is a possibility. It seems that models have come into agreement with the main surface low being further inland in the panhandle region. This decreases the amount of rainfall...
by don
Mon Apr 19, 2021 1:07 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

Maybe by mid morning Saturday,but it will depend on how progressive the system is.Still too early to know for sure.
by don
Mon Apr 19, 2021 10:46 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2021
Replies: 169
Views: 5997

Re: April 2021

Models are showing possibly multiple rounds of heavy rain and severe thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. As the frontal boundary briefly stalls which allows multiple disturbances to ride the front over the area.