Search found 2674 matches

by don
Mon May 13, 2024 11:40 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

HGX already mentioning Thursday.

imarge5.png
imarge5.png (280.35 KiB) Viewed 50 times
by don
Mon May 13, 2024 10:58 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

The next storm system to watch is this Thursday,we may see another MCS.It's nice having a normal Spring for once. rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_76.png What are you seeing after though? Looks like a quiet period to me. Well Friday and or Saturday may end up stormy also as the frontal boundary will still ...
by don
Mon May 13, 2024 10:33 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

The next storm system to watch is this Thursday,we may see another MCS.It's nice having a normal Spring for once.

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_scus_27.png
ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_scus_27.png (200.18 KiB) Viewed 64 times
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_76.png
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_76.png (173.25 KiB) Viewed 68 times
by don
Mon May 13, 2024 2:37 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 233 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 TXC201-291-339-131945- /O.CON.KHGX.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-240513T1945Z/ Montgomery TX-Liberty TX-Harris TX- 233 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CD...
by don
Mon May 13, 2024 1:15 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Storms are getting stronger out there as they move towards SE Texas... Screenshot 2024-05-13 at 13-15-44 NWS Radar.png ww0237_overview_wou.gif BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 237 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 100 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2024...
by don
Mon May 13, 2024 12:54 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Watch coming. mcd0767.png Mesoscale Discussion 0767 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1239 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Areas affected...southern Texas into southwestern Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 131739Z - 131945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...9...
by don
Mon May 13, 2024 12:18 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

IMG_0023.png IMG_0025.png IMG_0024.png South central TX to southern LA through tonight... A cluster of supercells formed this morning and is approaching areas near and south of San Antonio as of 16z. Extreme buoyancy (MUCAPE of 4000-6000 J/kg), steep midlevel lapse rates and strong deep-layer verti...
by don
Mon May 13, 2024 1:13 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

An ENHANCED risk has been issued for today.... spcd1cat.us_sc (2).png spcd1hail.us_sc (1).png spcd1wind.us_sc (1).png NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TX TO THE...
by don
Sun May 12, 2024 9:18 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

0Z HRRR for tomorrow.

Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-16-51 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-16-51 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png (477.24 KiB) Viewed 472 times
Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-16-59 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-16-59 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png (490.03 KiB) Viewed 472 times
Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-17-14 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 21-17-14 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png (504.09 KiB) Viewed 472 times
by don
Sun May 12, 2024 2:32 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Tomorrow looks "fun"... LOL 👀 As supercells congeal into a potent MCS and move through our area. SPC mentions an enhanced risk may be coming. Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 14-30-42 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 14-30-55 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png Screenshot 2...
by don
Sun May 12, 2024 1:22 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Tornado watch issued.The HRRR shows more storms developing in the metro in a few hours along a warm front. ww0233_overview_wou.gif Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 13-24-47 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 233 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK...
by don
Sun May 12, 2024 12:43 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Something to watch very closely, at least one mesoscale model in this case the WRF, suggests a really heavy rain band could set up over the city late sunday night- monday with another line of storms on tuesday, impressive totals on this model, something to watch for fwiw Edit: The 00z GFS keeps a v...
by don
Sat May 11, 2024 11:07 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Some of the models are showing signs of supercell development in SE Texas on Monday.Main threat appears to be large hail and damaging winds.If confidence increases i wouldn't be surprised to see a upgrade to an enhanced risk eventually.
by don
Sat May 11, 2024 3:25 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

wpc_qprf_168h_p.us_sc.png
wpc_qprf_168h_p.us_sc.png (426.08 KiB) Viewed 278 times
by don
Sat May 11, 2024 3:24 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

sgpcd3cat.us_sc.png Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible M...
by don
Fri May 10, 2024 7:48 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Cromagnum wrote: Interview in NC went well today. So well that the VP gave me a verbal notice of intent to hire and said he wanted to spend his time with me to close in on an initial offer range before I traveled home. Written one will be forthcoming Monday
That's great! Wishing you the best. :)
by don
Fri May 10, 2024 5:29 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Mesocale models so far are rather unimpressed with much rain down here on mothers day, HRRR, WRF and NAM models keep most of the rain on sunday to our north and east, not a lot of action across se texas Edit: Mesocales stop at sunday night after 48 hours, will see in another day what they show mond...
by don
Fri May 10, 2024 5:11 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Today's 12Z Global Models

Screenshot 2024-05-10 at 17-08-12 Models GFS - Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-05-10 at 17-08-12 Models GFS - Pivotal Weather.png (1.09 MiB) Viewed 170 times
Screenshot 2024-05-10 at 17-08-04 Models GDPS - Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-05-10 at 17-08-04 Models GDPS - Pivotal Weather.png (1.03 MiB) Viewed 170 times
Screenshot 2024-05-10 at 17-08-27 Models ECMWF - Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-05-10 at 17-08-27 Models ECMWF - Pivotal Weather.png (1.13 MiB) Viewed 170 times
by don
Thu May 09, 2024 6:28 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

18Z GFS

Screenshot 2024-05-09 at 18-27-42 Models GFS - Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-05-09 at 18-27-42 Models GFS - Pivotal Weather.png (1.01 MiB) Viewed 539 times
by don
Thu May 09, 2024 5:12 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2024
Replies: 348
Views: 17951

Re: May 2024

Technically models show the corridor of disturbances further south than they did last time.For example the Euro has disturbances originating further south in South central Texas before moving east along the I-10 corridor.(FWIW) It's important to not get hung up on QPF amounts and locations in this r...