Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 20, 2024 8:49 pm Maybe a line of storms looks like its beginning to develop near the hill country, hopefully those can hold together as they progress eastward over the next several hours

That's the weak MCS that's developed as forecast.Should be in the metro area in a couple of hours.

It now looks like a MCS will be coming though tomorrow night.

Things look pretty wet tomorrow evening/night especially north of I-10.

We had snow this afternoon across our higher elevations with a mix of rain and snow at the house. More cold expected late next week. That probably spells a severe weather potential across portions of Texas. You must be at a very high elevation cuz it’s not supposed to snow that far south in mid Apr...

The next potential severe weather/heavy rain event to watch locally is around the 20th of the month.As another slow moving front moves in with an active subtropical jet.

Updated LOCAL severe weather reports from Wednesday morning.Numerous reports of wind damage in SE Texas and two confirmed tornadoes.

CAM's or Short-term models didn't do a good job at all with initializing these severe thunderstorms off to the northeast of the Houston area now... COD-NEXRAD-HGX (1).png I think this poorly modeled convection I alluded to last night contaminated the warm sector under the Moderate Risk earlier than...

Storm reports locally. Could have been worse, looks like the moderate tornado risk to the east of us isn't panning out also which is good news. 😉 Cabbpture.PNG Capdture.PNG I’ve noticed a lot of the risks for severe weather aren’t really panning out. Not that I’m complaining, just something I’ve no...

Not a surprise at all that a tornado happened in Katy last night.When i saw the velocity couplet last night on radar i was scratching my head wondering why HGX only had a severe thunderstorm warning on it.

Storm reports locally. Could have been worse, looks like the moderate tornado risk to the east of us isn't panning out also which is good news.

mcd0408.png Screenshot 2024-04-10 at 02-13-17 NWS Radar.png Mesoscale Discussion 0408 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Areas affected...Middle TX Coastal Plain into Southeast TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98...99... Valid 100658Z - 100830Z The severe wea...

Yikes! "widespread damaging winds with isolated gust up to 85 mph likely" ww0099_overview.gif URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 99 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 PM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Th...

Some pretty strong wording from the SPC regarding later tonight. A new watch will go up locally by midnight. IMG_0015.png Mesoscale Discussion 0407 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1012 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Areas affected...Parts of south and southeast TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watc...

Development has started to the west....

The Enhanced risk has been expanded southwest. spcd1cavt.us_sc.png spcd1tdor.us_sc.png spcdb1wind.us_sc.png spcdd1hail.us_sc.png Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 100100Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRO...

Things are slowly starting to take shape as supercells have developed now to our west.The supercells ongoing in central Texas will merge with the disturbance moving in from the southwest later tonight.The MCS from this disturbance should start forming around midnight to our southwest. We're already ...

The latest HRRR, showing an ugly MCS with hail cores.Storms may start forming as early as midnight in some areas. As the frontal boundary moves into SE Texas and merges with the potent disturbance coming out of Mexico along the subtropical jet. Screenshot 2024-04-09 at 17-37-02 Models HRRR - Pivotal...