Search found 2805 matches

by don
Wed Jun 19, 2024 6:33 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

I'm at 2 inches now.
by don
Wed Jun 19, 2024 1:20 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

Interesting the rain has started again, let’s see how long it last.
by don
Wed Jun 19, 2024 11:52 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

What a bust...this was one of the bigger bust in a while. LOL 😂
by don
Tue Jun 18, 2024 2:51 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024 (Flood Watch in effect at 7pm)

I've been busy today at work,at least theirs another system to watch already, trying to look on the bright side. LOL 😂
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 9:44 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024 (PTC 1 Advisories issued)

Cpv17 wrote: Looks like I should get dumped on pretty good down here in Wharton County!
Yes things are looking really good for you!
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 8:58 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024 (PTC 1 Advisories issued)

The main event is not till tomorrow night-Wednesday,and that's been the forecast for several days now.I'm not sure why it seems like some expected today to be a washout..
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 8:56 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024 (PTC 1 Advisories issued)

don wrote: Will the HRRR cave towards the other mesoscale models tonight? Or vise versa? Stay tuned. LOL
The HRRR is not backing down.

Scre4enshot 2024-06-17 a[...].png
Scre4enshot 2024-06-17 a[...].png (1.06 MiB) Viewed 474 times
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 5:17 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024 (PTC 1 Advisories issued)

Will the HRRR cave towards the other mesoscale models tonight? Or vise versa? Stay tuned. LOL
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 4:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

The latest 850mb vorticity from the HRRR as an example. The vorticities rotating around the main center almost act like "mini" TC's within the bigger system. Wherever on the coast of Texas that vorticity tracks is going to be who sees the most rain and wind from this. The HRRR has been tac...
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 4:31 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

I think some people may be confused, we've been tracking the vortmax in the models not the COC,there were hints that a vortmax may become the dominate COC but regardless for us in SE Texas we were never relying on that for rain up here.A better way to explain it, is over the last week the models hav...
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 4:21 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

Remember folks the storm was always going to stay well south of us. Our storm is not the center its the vortmax rotating around the COC.(The talk about a COC relocation is more of a technicality it doesn't really change things for us.)What matters for us is how far north those vortmax travel on the ...
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 3:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

Potential Tropical Cyclone One Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012024 400 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Satellite, surface, and aircraft data show that the center of the large low pressure area is over the Bay of Campeche with a central pressure near 1001 mb. The system curren...
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 3:01 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

The HRRR continues to show the majority of rain being over the coastal bend and SE Texas. The HRRR is showing a very concerning setup.

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hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_42.png (178.93 KiB) Viewed 334 times
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 2:38 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

hgx (3).png Flood Watch National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 139 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 TXZ197-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439-180245- /O.NEW.KHGX.FA.A.0007.240619T0000Z-240620T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Washington-Colorado-Austin-Waller-I...
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 11:37 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

GFS

Screenshrot 2024-06-17 a[...].png
Screenshrot 2024-06-17 a[...].png (1.18 MiB) Viewed 495 times
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 10:41 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

Screenjshot 2024-06-17 a[...].png
Screenjshot 2024-06-17 a[...].png (1.14 MiB) Viewed 632 times
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 9:59 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

Cromagnum wrote: Lots of chatter on S2K that this thing may tighten up a lot and hit pretty far south, in which case, Houston will get less rain than has been shown in the last few updates.
Some people may be forgetting that the system looks to have a center reformation to the north.
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 9:39 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

Starting to feel like this will impact farther south than most people think, frankly they need the rain more than we do! Right now the middle Texas coast looks to be the hotspot.We'll know more through the day as we're now in range of the mesoscale models. FWIW the HRRR is painting some hefty rainf...
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 8:57 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

12Z HRRR shows a very lopsided system as expected with the COC near north Mexico/South Texas while all the convection is over the middle and upper Texas coast.Look at all that rain moving in from the gulf. Screetnshot 2024-06-17 a[...].png Screensedhot 2024-06-17 a[...].png hrrr_ref_frzn_seus_44.jpg
by don
Mon Jun 17, 2024 7:57 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 590
Views: 27591

Re: June 2024

Moderate risk Tuesday and Wednesday.

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wpc_excessive_rainfall_day2a.us_sc.png (293.14 KiB) Viewed 534 times
wpc_excegssive_rainfall_day3.us_sc.png
wpc_excegssive_rainfall_day3.us_sc.png (295.26 KiB) Viewed 534 times