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I'm loving the the strong cutoff low the models are showing around the 10th.Just the setup we need to get some widespread rain. "crosses fingers"

Have a total of .54" so far. I don't think there was a single severe weather watch, warning, or report anywhere in SE Texas today. After all hype, it turned out to be a big nothing-burger. This was the biggest bust that I can remember, honestly. Nah, the moderate risk in April 2017 was a worse bust...

I've picked up about 1" of rain so far.The southeastern half of Harris county has rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches showing in the counties rain gauges, not bad.Though it would have been nice if those rainfall amounts were more widespread across the area. So understand some disappointment in that.

We are setting a dangerous precedent for the general public. Not even within 24 hours. Cry wolf syndrome is deadly. Armageddon on the rocks. We better do better than this. Maybe a bit hyperbolic...🤔Bust happen, the weather is very hard to forecast. They weren't forecasting Armageddon, it was a cond...

djmike wrote: ↑

Thu Nov 30, 2023 1:16 pm

Something tells me we are going to be disappointed with rainfall totals today except for Galveston. Maybe the euro was right all along…

Its been raining pretty heavy on the southside of Houston.

Mesoscale Discussion 2290 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 AM CST Thu Nov 30 2023 Areas affected...Southeast TX Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 301759Z - 302000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...The tornado threat may gradually increase with time t...

SPC has downgraded the area to a slight risk. Looks like that disturbance is taking a more southerly route than models were showing. Don't let your guard down yet though.

The Enhanced risk was shift slightly south and now includes most of the metro area. They say the environment looks favorable for supercells starting around midday. https://i.ibb.co/rw8zm7g/spcd1cat-us-sc-1.png Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1201 AM CST Thu Nov 30 2023...

Well the 0Z HRRR shows a very active day tomorrow with multiple rounds of thunderstorms throughout the day. It also shows large supercells in the afternoon. ( Something to note:I've also noticed since yesterday. That the HRRR has been showing for several runs a large supercell developing along the 5...

There looks to be two rounds of storms the first round will come in the morning when the warm front moves through. And the second round will come in the afternoon as a disturbance passes through the jet stream. The storms in the afternoon will have better dynamics but there could be a lack of instab...