Wx Infinity Forums

Cpv17 wrote: ↑

Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:52 pm

I really don’t see much on the GFS..

The GFS was showing the wave becoming a TC for a few runs.It backed off on that with today's runs though.

That's the 12z run from this morning though.The last few runs don't look as nice qpf wise.

Don't look at the HRRR LOL... its trying to push a majority of the rain onto SW Louisiana now.

Thats a meso low near Galveston...2pm update 1. Western Gulf of Mexico: Recent satellite and radar imagery indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure near the southern coast of Texas have changed little in organization since this morning. The disturbance is forec...

Looks like we may already have another system to watch as we enter July. The GFS has been bringing the tropical wave behind PTC 2 into the western Gulf FWIW.

12Z HRRR rainfall totals,very tight gradient over the area.

From HGX

0Z models

18Z HWRF and HMON.

8pm update 1. Western Gulf of Mexico: An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated the low pressure are over the western Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and found a closed wind circulation. However, at this time the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is too poorly organized to...