55" here in Dickinson for the event. I live off Deats road and it was absolutely horrible. The road had 6 feet of water in spots. Unfortunately 8" of water made it into my house, however houses just two streets over on lower elevations had over 5 feet! The sight and sound of bay boats, jet...

Torrential rainfall here in Dickinson since around 9PM. 2+ inches per hour.

Very thin but organized squall line headed towards metro in the next hour or two.
Surprising how well its held together for it being so thin. 10 degree drop with fropa.

Beginning to see some lift from the SW. Looks like a wet night ahead.

To the untrained eye, it does look like this moved quicker than expected and we might have dodged the 10"+ totals. What is interesting is what Andrew mentioned a page or two back about the multiple lows on the radar. The one between Corpus/Matagorda looks like it is deepening... Beginning of a ...

Andrew wrote:00z GFS

Even though it's probably the last model run before we enter nowcast mode, that's impressive.
Looking forward to following the board for another event, good to see this place active after all the years.

Radar returns are dying by the hour, looks like we are done with the effects of Bill.
GFS shows a shower or two over the next few days then normal high and dry pattern resumes.
Should finally go back to regularly scheduled programming, but glad to see this board lively during an event like Bill.

Are you guys seeing how the storms over Corpus are cutting off our moisture feed? Quite interesting because they "pick up" again just after Houston... will be interesting to see if Bill's northeastward progression will move the "forcing" over Houston this evening, flooding out t...

nuby3 wrote:just noticed that NWS raised my Heavy Rain percentage from 50 to 80 for tonight.

They must think all the bands over Corpus will hold together and pull through here overnight.
That's going to be a mess if it does, slow moving and lots of life left. Bill isn't leaving us quietly.

This is FAR from over.

Serious feeder bands offshore and wherever one sets up (and stalls) could receive upwards of 10" of rain over several hours.
Hopefully the tail end falls apart, but these systems are known to drop a surprise or two on their way out.

Latest Corpus Christi and Houston/Galveston radar composite loops suggests TS Bill very slowly moving N over Matagorda Bay. Could it be that Bill is moving north over San Antonio Bay, just west of Matagorda Bay, by the Aransas National Wildlife Refuge? Just asking. Yep, looks like an NNE wobble for...

The blob in the SW Gulf is more impressive than Bill! It's lighting up the water vapor loop too. Have to see if the convection continues to build on the south side of Bill. That would not be good as all that convection will wrap up on "the dirty side" (us) as it moves inland. http://www.s...

I've been stuck at the airport in Chicago for 12 hours now. Trying to fly back to Houston tonight. Hope I can beat Bill to Texas. I'm thinking landfall a little east of Matagorda Bay as a 50-60kt TS . Could be a little less intense. That may mean possible 35-45 mph winds for south Houston with high...

srainhoutx wrote:A 60 mph reading in last HDOB.

They've almost waited around long enough for Hurricane Bill to form before TS Bill...

So check this out while we await Recon flight data.. Ironic similarities between this system and Tropical Storm Erin in 2007 which landed near Port Aransas. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Erin_%282007%29 "a Hurricane Hunters flight into the system reported a small circulation cent...

Center starting to take shape, but not clear enough to nail down a track. Extrapolation looks like Matagorda all the way.

tireman4 wrote:This might help....with the wind barbs...

http://i.imgur.com/OB659Ta.jpg

Quite a relocation north. Thinking the models shift a bit.

Looking healthy. Race against the clock for it to wrap up.

Are they going to issue Tropical Storm watches/warnings? Easy, grasshopper. Treat this as a rain event, with some wind, and hopefully doesn't stick around very long. They'll need to issue one for a small area of coastline that will experience those conditions if the storm continues to progress as i...