Search found 839 matches

by TexasMetBlake
Mon Jan 30, 2023 9:28 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2023
Replies: 827
Views: 152202

Re: January 2023

So the 00z Hrrr is….concerning lol. Man, it brings a devastating ice storm to Austin and the I-35 corridor. It’s 30°F now, colder than forecast and has been all day.
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Jan 29, 2023 11:27 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2023
Replies: 827
Views: 152202

Re: January 2023

Quick update: possible expansion of WWA to include San Antonio as well as areas further south and east is being monitored for the 4am update. Wouldn’t surprise me at all.
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Jan 29, 2023 2:16 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2023
Replies: 827
Views: 152202

Re: January 2023

Winter Storm Watch coming shortly for Austin area. Standby.
by TexasMetBlake
Fri Dec 23, 2022 9:58 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

Looks like this is the first time IAH has seen back to back years in the teens since December 1989 and December 1990. To get back to back years at or below 15°F at IAH, you'd have to go back to Jan 1982 and Dec 1983! So pretty rare!
by TexasMetBlake
Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:33 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

ACT has held at 15 now for the last 3 hours. The temperature fall is beginning to slow a bit in central and north Texas. Should still see a decent drop in the Houston area for the next few hours. Dewpoints are -4 at DFW, 2 at ACT, 14 at IAH, and 4 in AUS. So still plenty of room to fall another 5 or...
by TexasMetBlake
Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:25 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

19°F now. Well ahead of schedule and just about the break through GFS' paper thin prediction. ;) Blake, my 13°F prediction may be too high. Single digits could be a possibility under clear skies. The wind is the Achilles’ heel. Normally wind that strong would stifle a significant drop in temps but ...
by TexasMetBlake
Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:01 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

7pm Temp Check vs NWS Forecast Low: Dallas: 14°/10° … big bust potential Austin: 21°/15° … big bust potential San Antonio: 26°/18° … big bust potential Houston: 29°/16° … potential bust Still have 12 hours of cooling ahead 👀 Temperatures are far outpacing any model and we’re already closing in on th...
by TexasMetBlake
Thu Dec 22, 2022 2:20 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

The front is WAY over performing. It would not surprise me at all to see temps below 15 at IAH tonight.
by TexasMetBlake
Mon Dec 19, 2022 11:05 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

Looking at the 12km NAM and the 00z GFS, I find it interesting that they are "warm" showing lows in the upper teens for central and southeast Texas while the 00z GEM and ICON models are single digits and teens. Seeing the NAM more in line with the GFS kind of raises an eyebrow for me. Mayb...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Dec 18, 2022 10:46 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

00z GFS has my attention now, more moisture, hinting at precipitation with the front in SE Texas…… Pre-frontal. One thing that we will have to watch for is "flash freezing" of leftover water on elevated surfaces with temperatures almost immediately crashing into the 20s behind the front. ...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Dec 18, 2022 10:44 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

The GEM keeps us below freezing from Thursday afternoon to Sunday afternoon with multiple nights in the low teens. Could it be on to something? It handled Feb 2021 better than any other model. I really wish the NAM was within range. Ugh!
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Dec 18, 2022 10:34 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

00z GFS has my attention now, more moisture, hinting at precipitation with the front in SE Texas…… Pre-frontal. One thing that we will have to watch for is "flash freezing" of leftover water on elevated surfaces with temperatures almost immediately crashing into the 20s behind the front. ...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Dec 18, 2022 3:34 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

NWS has lowered the expected low at IAH to 15°F on Thursday night and 19°F on Friday night. Still might not be low enough. Yikes.
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Dec 18, 2022 10:29 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2022
Replies: 1688
Views: 237489

Re: December 2022

Hey all, been a while! I need to figure out how to change my username. Obviously, I’m not with KHOU any longer. Interesting times ahead! I still think the models are too warm for daytime highs and lows. With winds of 40mph and clear skies, pure arctic advection driven by a 1068 mb high should drive ...
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021:
Replies: 1114
Views: 308192

Re: June 2021: Watching The Bay of Campeche

With the SAL layer moving in, wind shear AND the fact that the circulation is so broad, I find it hard to believe this would become much more than a low grade tropical storm--at least the way it looks to me now. If this is a shrimpy system then landfall will be irrelevant with as most of the rain wi...
by TexasMetBlake
Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:30 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Blake Mathews Leaving KHOU
Replies: 12
Views: 9346

Blake Mathews Leaving KHOU

Well you guys, the time has come: my last on-air day at KHOU will be June 30th. The reasons for my departure are both professional and personal. 1. I miss my partner and I desperately want to be with him in Florida. 2 I’m ready to take on a M-F position which is an advancement in my career and allow...
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:28 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 721756

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

I'm seeing 4 populate on my GFS model for IAH. That's enough for an all-time record low. If we have 6-10 inches of snow on the ground and a clearing sky, why not?
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Feb 13, 2021 5:56 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 721756

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Thanks for the thumbs up, y'all but it really is a team effort. David, Addison, Chita and I have been pouring over every model and every scenario. We determined a few days ago that the models just have no idea. So we're using sensible meteorology; looking up stream and watching how bad the models ar...
by TexasMetBlake
Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:54 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 721756

Re: February 2021

12z euro is cold with a low of 15 in Houston on Tuesday AM but a high of 37 lol. Keeps everything liquid here. Storm track is further north keeping the warm nose in place. Looks very similar to a few weeks ago when College Station got snow and Houston didn't. Interesting.
by TexasMetBlake
Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:53 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 721756

Re: February 2021

Digging through the records for the 15th and 16th, looks like we have some 1895 records that could fall! Monday, 15th: Record Low Max: 32 degrees set in 1909. Models are showing 20s. Record Low: 13 in 1895. Models show 30s. Tuesday, 16th: Record Low Max: 36 degrees in 1895 (I'm surprised that 'warm'...