Search found 825 matches

by KHOU BLake
Sat Jun 12, 2021 8:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2021:
Replies: 1114
Views: 71989

Re: June 2021: Watching The Bay of Campeche

With the SAL layer moving in, wind shear AND the fact that the circulation is so broad, I find it hard to believe this would become much more than a low grade tropical storm--at least the way it looks to me now. If this is a shrimpy system then landfall will be irrelevant with as most of the rain wi...
by KHOU BLake
Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:30 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Blake Mathews Leaving KHOU
Replies: 12
Views: 1473

Blake Mathews Leaving KHOU

Well you guys, the time has come: my last on-air day at KHOU will be June 30th. The reasons for my departure are both professional and personal. 1. I miss my partner and I desperately want to be with him in Florida. 2 I’m ready to take on a M-F position which is an advancement in my career and allow...
by KHOU BLake
Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:28 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 212186

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

I'm seeing 4 populate on my GFS model for IAH. That's enough for an all-time record low. If we have 6-10 inches of snow on the ground and a clearing sky, why not?
by KHOU BLake
Sat Feb 13, 2021 5:56 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 212186

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Thanks for the thumbs up, y'all but it really is a team effort. David, Addison, Chita and I have been pouring over every model and every scenario. We determined a few days ago that the models just have no idea. So we're using sensible meteorology; looking up stream and watching how bad the models ar...
by KHOU BLake
Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:54 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 212186

Re: February 2021

12z euro is cold with a low of 15 in Houston on Tuesday AM but a high of 37 lol. Keeps everything liquid here. Storm track is further north keeping the warm nose in place. Looks very similar to a few weeks ago when College Station got snow and Houston didn't. Interesting.
by KHOU BLake
Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:53 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 212186

Re: February 2021

Digging through the records for the 15th and 16th, looks like we have some 1895 records that could fall! Monday, 15th: Record Low Max: 32 degrees set in 1909. Models are showing 20s. Record Low: 13 in 1895. Models show 30s. Tuesday, 16th: Record Low Max: 36 degrees in 1895 (I'm surprised that 'warm'...
by KHOU BLake
Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:53 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 212186

Re: February 2021

Euro has finally joined the GFS but keeps the coldest stuff for Tuesday 12z. Showing a low of 17 in Downtown Houston. Keeps all precip liquid with a change over to snow towards the Brazos Valley.
by KHOU BLake
Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:08 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 212186

Re: February 2021

A freeze of this magnitude has been well documented many times in this area. It only stands to reason it was going to happen again. I don't think it's a question of if but how bad. It's all about the snow/ice cover I think at this point and how fast the skies clear.
by KHOU BLake
Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:03 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 212186

Re: February 2021

GFS is definitely a worse-case scenario and it seems too unbelievable to be true. Not saying it can't happen but that's a perfect storm of heavy snow or ice accumulations and a clearing sky like Andrew alluded to. Strong radiational cooling could in theory cause our temps to tank to near all-time lo...
by KHOU BLake
Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:50 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 212186

Re: February 2021

Here's a look at the raw GFS output for IAH. Highs in the 20s and a low of 9 degrees. Not quite 1989 but darn close.