Wx Infinity Forums

Stratton20 wrote: ↑

Tue Dec 05, 2023 11:58 am

Need to watch the 14-16th timeframe next week, ensemble guidance is getting pretty interesting across the state

I have seen forecast models suggesting storms next week.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.7ºC
Niño 3.4 2.0ºC
Niño 3 2.0ºC
Niño 1+2 2.1ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 cooled.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.5ºC
Niño 3.4 2.1ºC
Niño 3 2.3ºC
Niño 1+2 2.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 remain the same. Region 3 and 3.4 warmed.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Stratton20 wrote: ↑

Tue Nov 21, 2023 1:29 pm

Cpv17 yeah the EPO really tanks, we will see about that though, so far out

A tanking East Pacific Oscillation (EPO) increases chance for cold blasts. I have seen negative EPO and positive NAO and cold blasts happening.

NWS Houston Area Forecast Discussion https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&issuedby=HGX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 000 FXUS64 KHGX 202255 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 455 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TER...

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.5ºC
Niño 3.4 1.9ºC
Niño 3 2.1ºC
Niño 1+2 2.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. All other regions warmed.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.3ºC
Niño 3.4 1.8ºC
Niño 3 2.0ºC
Niño 1+2 2.2ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3.4 remain the same. Region 3 and 4 cooled.

A cool Thanksgiving would be nice.

So basically if we are going to see any flooding issues,it would probably be with Mondays system.Depending on how much instability is available as that will be a factor for rainfall rates.And also soil saturation.Rainfall rates should be manageable through the weekend though. Flooding has occurred ...