snowman65 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 10:26 pm we got graupel. Does graupel count? lol

Graupel is one step away from snow.

It is going to be a long night.

From NWS Houston. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&issuedby=HGX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 To put this into a historical context, we haven`t seen a storm quite like this impact Greater Houston in quite some time. In fact, if we were to measure a s...

If this events ends up being a freezing rain event, that would be a huge problem in itself. I have seen freezing rain shut down the city. A lot of snow would shut down the city.

I would not be surprised if we see thundersnow from this event.

Just as I figured. The HRRR is the one to watch and it suppresses all the snow WAY south to coastal counties and wouldn’t be surprised on the next run that it sends it all offshore. Huge disappointment in the models giving everyone hope on a bunch of snow. Historic? Not even close. Can’t make this ...

Here is the February 2021 topic.
https://www.wxinfinity.com/viewtopic.php?t=2705

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.7ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.3ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 warmed. Region 3.4 remains the same. Region 4 cooled.

If this is true Siberian air there will be no “warm nose.” Those who were here in Houston in Dec. 1989 know what I’m talking about and what Siberian air will do to the air column. We had snow on the ground for days. December 1989 was very cold. I remember it well. It was wave after wave of cold bla...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 15, 2025 6:40 pm https://x.com/ryanmaue/status/187960015 ... _m1NXPw4Cg

If that was to be case, perhaps shades of December 1989? A wave of cold blast after cold blasts.

Either my eyes are going crazy or I just saw a couple of tiny (and I do mean tiny) sleet pellets drop. Would not surprise me if there is a little rain (mostly virga) turning into some sleet due to evaporative cooling with the onset of saturation. I keep saying we could see some wintry precipitation.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 07, 2025 7:19 pm https://x.com/weathercast3/status/18767 ... _m1NXPw4Cg

https://x.com/weathercast3/status/18767 ... _m1NXPw4Cg

Hmmmmm. That could get interesting.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 07, 2025 8:47 am NAM 12z tries to bring in some snow across portions of se texas on the back edge of the system

Snow forecast is notoriously complex. I would not be surprised if we saw snow.

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Mon Jan 06, 2025 8:41 pm

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Mon Jan 06, 2025 8:35 pm

txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2025 11:16 pm

Since the late 1800s, for Houston at least.

That would be an outlier. It would shut down the city for days.

GFS has quite an imagination. lol Big winter storm around the 22nd.

If that panned out.................

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.7ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 0.1ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed.

txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2025 11:16 pm

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2025 11:13 pm

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2025 10:24 pm 00z GFS gives se texas 6-8 inches of snow!

If that panned out, it would be one of the largest snow events in Southeast Texas in years.

Since the late 1800s, for Houston at least.

That would be an outlier. It would shut down the city for days.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2025 10:24 pm 00z GFS gives se texas 6-8 inches of snow!

If that panned out, it would be one of the largest snow events in Southeast Texas in years.

vci_guy2003 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2024 4:26 pm I remember a couple of years ago the Euro had snow for us 10 days out, then it disappeared for good lol

That is why I prefer seeing 7 days or less. I like to see consensus among forecast models.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 -1.1ºC
Niño 3 -0.5ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 have no change. Region 3.4 and 4 cooled.

I would like to see the forecast model starting next week. Freezing weather in Houston area is complicated and complex.