Search found 4034 matches
- Mon May 27, 2024 10:15 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
Seeing high CAPE over Southeast Texas is unusual. If there was no capping, we could see severe thunderstorms. The forecast models for Wednesday looks like a night time event
- Thu May 23, 2024 10:28 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
I really dont see any sort of big heat ridge setup in the guidance anytime soon or even perhaps for the next few weeks, GFS continues to see a couple of cold fronts sliding through over the next few weeks! We shall see I'll believe it when I see it. I feel like we are charging forward to another sc...
- Thu May 23, 2024 10:26 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
CMC and GFS keep the ridge to our south through the first week in June. AI-Euro jailbreaks the ridge after June 4th to the upper plains. Either way, be means a more active weather patter for us next week and into early June. AI Euro is generous with the rain. I'm sensing a tropical showers pattern ...
- Mon May 20, 2024 10:37 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
The Texas Boaters' Derecho https://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepages/may171986page.htm The Texas Derecho of 1989 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepages/may41989page.htm#:~:text=The%20Texas%20Derecho%20of%201989&text=On%20Thursday%20afternoon%2C%20May%204th,echo%20(see%20Fi...
- Mon May 20, 2024 10:31 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
Interesting maps of the derecho. I notice the CAPE and Effective Bulk Shear is tight.
- Mon May 20, 2024 9:32 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: ENSO Updates
- Replies: 897
- Views: 672401
Re: ENSO Updates
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -1.1ºC
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
All regions cooled.
Niño 4 0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -1.1ºC
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
All regions cooled.
- Sun May 19, 2024 8:38 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: Tropical Storm Claudette 1979 Coverage
- Replies: 4
- Views: 7342
Re: Tropical Storm Claudette 1979 Coverage
I was 10 years old living in E Pearland. Received 22” of rain in 24 hours. We got a break in the afternoon and remember the dark skies off to the S toward Alvin. Right about dark there was a wave of low clouds that looked like smoke. A minute later the deluge returned and continued until 2AM. The h...
- Sun May 19, 2024 8:08 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
From Matt Lanza The same Matt Lanza who said the models whiffed on the storms the other day about 3 hours too early. Let me say this. First, I am not a meteorologist, but it is not an exact science. Even in this say of advanced computing, mistakes can still be made. He has a BS in Meteorology from ...
- Mon May 13, 2024 9:06 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: ENSO Updates
- Replies: 897
- Views: 672401
Re: ENSO Updates
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.4ºC
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
All regions cooled, except for Region 4. It remains the same.
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.4ºC
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
All regions cooled, except for Region 4. It remains the same.
- Sun May 12, 2024 9:30 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
- Replies: 79
- Views: 38814
Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Very unsettling to see that. I could see records being made and broken.
- Fri May 10, 2024 9:10 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
Strongest solar flare observed in 20 years.
- Thu May 09, 2024 9:45 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
A lot of uncertainty. There were thunderstorms earlier today.
- Wed May 08, 2024 8:51 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
The forecast models are all over the place in rain amount and where it will happen. I have seen them get amount correct, but not the location.
- Mon May 06, 2024 9:24 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: ENSO Updates
- Replies: 897
- Views: 672401
Re: ENSO Updates
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.5ºC
Niño 3 0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 0.8ºC
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
All regions cooled, except for Region 1+2, which warmed up.
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.5ºC
Niño 3 0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 0.8ºC
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
All regions cooled, except for Region 1+2, which warmed up.
- Mon May 06, 2024 9:23 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
- Replies: 79
- Views: 38814
Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
I'm starting to buy in more with the various forecast showing Texas being one of the hotspots this year. I am very concern with the persistent weakness that has been over the state the last month or so. The continuation of this pattern through May could cause a feedback loop, with saturated soils o...
- Mon May 06, 2024 9:22 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
The Euro has been far more accurate of the models and HRRR hasn't been bad on the mesos. The transition from La Niña to El Niño sees to be allowing more energy further south than the last 10 years (on average). The weather has been more like the 90s. A bit wetter for us. There have been a lot of cl...
- Mon May 06, 2024 9:04 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
Pretty big difference once again between the Euro and GFS. Euro says more rain is on the way and GFS not so much. I'm in Euro's corner for this round.... The Euro has been far more accurate of the models and HRRR hasn't been bad on the mesos. The transition from La Niña to El Niño sees to be allowi...
- Sun May 05, 2024 8:25 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
Weather forecasting is often comes with uncertainty. May and spring are more unpredictable. I remember in some Mays, the forecast called for no to moderate rain and turns out to be heavy rain.
- Fri May 03, 2024 10:06 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
The rainfall amounts are on par with tropical weather systems. The Tax Day 2016 and Brenham 2016 rain level. I was just thinking how this spring is giving me a lot of 2016 vibes. I actually think that people who are missing out now might be glad they did later on this month. In 2016, the rain reall...
- Fri May 03, 2024 9:59 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 704
- Views: 32524
Re: May 2024
The rainfall amounts are on par with tropical weather systems. The Tax Day 2016 and Brenham 2016 rain level.