Search found 751 matches

by weatherguy425
Sat May 13, 2023 8:53 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2023
Replies: 593
Views: 22336

Re: May 2023

00z FV3 is significantly drier than its 12z run 00z HRRR is unimpressive as well A tricky forecast, no doubt. FV3 also not handling evening convection the best. HRRR may not be extreme, but a solid 1"-3" through tomorrow afternoon. The 00Z NAM is the wettest run of the evening (so far) with persist...
by weatherguy425
Fri May 12, 2023 11:15 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: May 2023
Replies: 593
Views: 22336

Re: May 2023

Models are sniffing out another front in the medium range, but it wont make it here or it will stall out, next week looks like a return to big suck weather as high pressure looks to dominate our region, lovely🥵😑hope we can keep daily rain chances around! On the contrary, a continued chance of rain ...
by weatherguy425
Sat Sep 03, 2022 3:50 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2022
Replies: 457
Views: 47572

Re: September 2022

Seeing some signs in the long range that aren’t very good. Hope we can all get some decent rains the next few days. Me too. I’m up to a whopping 0.03” on ‘flood day’ Yeah I wish I could just go ahead and move already. I don’t think at Day 1 ‘Slight Risk’ of excessive rainfall qualifies as “everyone...
by weatherguy425
Mon Aug 29, 2022 1:48 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2022
Replies: 1099
Views: 96608

Re: August 2022

Re: Gulf Low The UKMET is also hinting at the possibility of an area of low pressure detaching from the stalled front and heading northwest or westward. Just something to casually watch. I just looked at the 12z Euro. It looks like it has a lot of vorticity headed this way by the weekend. ECMWF/GFS...
by weatherguy425
Mon Aug 29, 2022 1:12 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2022
Replies: 1099
Views: 96608

Re: August 2022

Re: Gulf Low

The UKMET is also hinting at the possibility of an area of low pressure detaching from the stalled front and heading northwest or westward. Just something to casually watch.
by weatherguy425
Mon Aug 29, 2022 4:02 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2022
Replies: 1099
Views: 96608

Re: August 2022

Something to casually watch this workweek - Some models (various NAM runs :lol: I know, ICON, etc.) have been vaguely hinting at an area of low pressure spinning up in the northeast Gulf and detaching from a stalling front along the Gulf Coast within the next five days. Worth a very casual watch to ...
by weatherguy425
Wed Jun 29, 2022 8:39 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2022
Replies: 841
Views: 98924

Re: June 2022

Cpv17 00z HRRR is not our friend either , focuses the heavier rains toward beaumont and most of SE Texas except for coastal communities get shafted Yeah that sounds about right. One thing to keep in mind... the remnant LLC will continue to push into Texas in the days post "landfall". It'll also con...
by weatherguy425
Wed Oct 27, 2021 8:11 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2021
Replies: 245
Views: 68198

Re: October 2021

Looks like the warning for Montgomery was cancelled. It didn’t really look like a tornado signature to me. More like straight line winds but with the trajectory towards the radar beam you get the red and green line on doppler. Transitory. It’s just wind. A pretty normal signature for quick spin ups...
by weatherguy425
Tue Oct 26, 2021 9:22 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2021
Replies: 245
Views: 68198

Re: October 2021

Kingwood36 wrote:
Tue Oct 26, 2021 7:29 am
snowman65 wrote:
Tue Oct 26, 2021 5:43 am
here ya go....told ya lol
They had the same outlook last year and look what happebd with the freeze..
And much of last winter, as a whole, was milder than average. These maps indicate the chance of various averaged temperature anomalies. One week if cold doesn’t mean the entire winter was.
by weatherguy425
Fri Oct 15, 2021 11:28 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2021
Replies: 245
Views: 68198

Re: October 2021

Ah gotcha weatherguy425, but I still think this is a little too much warm biased , i watch trsuted meteorologists on youtube like POW ponder and hes calling for the exact opposite( at least at December and beyond) conditions that this outlook lis showing And La Nina is only one factor, true. But, b...