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by tireman4
Fri Jun 14, 2024 9:18 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Ryan Maue 06 14 24
by tireman4
Fri Jun 14, 2024 9:04 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Jeff Lindner 06 14 24
by tireman4
Fri Jun 14, 2024 8:59 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

From Matt Lanza Monday & Tuesday We expect scattered to potentially numerous showers and thunderstorms in the area on Monday and Tuesday afternoons, though it’s a bit soon to pin down exactly where these will be most likely. Think of the first couple days of the week as slightly juicier typical ...
by tireman4
Fri Jun 14, 2024 8:41 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

From HGX NWS AFD TROPICAL... Issued at 237 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 A broad area of low pressure is expected to materialize in the Bay of Campeche by Monday or Tuesday. Global deterministic and ensemble guidance suggest a building ridge to the north will steer the low west to west-northwest towards no...
by tireman4
Fri Jun 14, 2024 8:32 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 214
Views: 9870

Re: June 2024

062 FXUS64 KHGX 141129 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 629 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 237 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 The primary weather feature of interest continues to be a broad area of low pressure that is expected t...
by tireman4
Thu Jun 13, 2024 3:52 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 214
Views: 9870

Re: June 2024

135 FXUS64 KHGX 132047 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 347 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 ...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, TROPICAL... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 324 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Attention for the forecast remains focused on the potential fo...
by tireman4
Thu Jun 13, 2024 12:08 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

What Dr. Pas Bon was alluding to earlier...from Matt Lanza We have a little bit of a new wrinkle today, and this involves the potential for a second western Gulf system by next weekend or so. This “gyre” type setup in Central America is causing us headaches, and another disturbance may pivot from th...
by tireman4
Thu Jun 13, 2024 8:47 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

And for our neighbors to the east... Invest #90L maybe trying to organize just a little bit east of Florida today. Looks like there could be a window for some development the next couple days before it transitions into an extratropical cyclone pretty quickly. pic.twitter.com/B3hsFqYwSG -- Andy Hazel...
by tireman4
Thu Jun 13, 2024 8:41 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 214
Views: 9870

Re: June 2024

Interesting, but great information from HGX in the AFD. I agree with them wholeheartedly ( will get my ready Sunday) - The best day to have your hurricane preparations for the season ready is June 1. The second best day is today (or as soon as you can reasonably complete them). Many hurricane prepar...
by tireman4
Thu Jun 13, 2024 8:30 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 214
Views: 9870

Re: June 2024

152 FXUS64 KHGX 131136 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 636 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 For better and for worse, attention for the forecast is focusing on the potential for tropical developm...
by tireman4
Thu Jun 13, 2024 8:07 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Matt Lanza: NHC has upped odds of development in the Bay of Campeche to 30% next week. For us in SE TX, this is most likely staying well to our south. Most model runs have also tempered rain totals and made them fairly manageable next week. Obviously, a risk for a rogue deluge somewhere. 1/2 It’s n...
by tireman4
Thu Jun 13, 2024 6:27 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Matt Lanza:

NHC has upped odds of development in the Bay of Campeche to 30% next week. For us in SE TX, this is most likely staying well to our south. Most model runs have also tempered rain totals and made them fairly manageable next week. Obviously, a risk for a rogue deluge somewhere. 1/2
by tireman4
Wed Jun 12, 2024 8:40 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Uncertainties
by tireman4
Tue Jun 11, 2024 2:33 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Eastern Gulf of Mexico and Offshore Southeast U.S. (AL90): A broad area of low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is producing a large ar...
by tireman4
Tue Jun 11, 2024 2:14 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Tropical Update
by tireman4
Tue Jun 11, 2024 12:49 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 214
Views: 9870

Re: June 2024

AVIATION... (18Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 1208 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Expecting increasing SHRA/TSRA coverage this afternoon, and will adjust TAFs as needed (will indicate MVFR ceilings/vsbys and possible gusty winds with the stronger activity). Will also be watching storm complex heading towards the...
by tireman4
Tue Jun 11, 2024 8:11 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 214
Views: 9870

Re: June 2024

473 FXUS64 KHGX 111158 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 658 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 353 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 It is full out summer here in Southeast Texas, in pretty much all the ways. We`ve got hot and humid con...
by tireman4
Tue Jun 11, 2024 7:56 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

From the Eyewall 06 11 24 Avid model watchers will note the sub-960 mb low that emerged in the Gulf of Mexico on a couple GFS operational model runs yesterday. Suffice to say there is little to no support for that particular outcome from any other weather model. And, in fact, the last two GFS model ...
by tireman4
Mon Jun 10, 2024 12:50 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2024
Replies: 214
Views: 9870

Re: June 2024

Late Noon Radar 06 10 24
by tireman4
Mon Jun 10, 2024 7:46 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 190
Views: 46246

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

The Eyewall 06 10 24