Wx Infinity Forums

Looks like the surge of tropical moisture from the south and a weak surface trough trying to develop along the coast will provide plenty of rain chances through the first half of the week. Some localized flooding concerns are possible too as rain rates look to be pretty heavy in some of the stronger...

The GFS remains steadfast on tropical formation across the Western Caribbean during the middle of next week but other global models are much less bullish on development. The key difference between the ECMWF and GFS is the mid-level vort gaining latitude and detaching from the rest of the energy push...

The ECMWF continues to push the system into Central America with no real latitude gained.

00Z GFS is about as bad as it can get but good news is it's 240 hours out.

ECMWF EPS were more favorable overnight of a system forming across the Gulf. The 06Z GEFS remains bullish on development too. Either way, we are 10+ days out from possible landfall and even the more aggressive GFS doesn't show any organization until the middle/late part of next week.

We need to keep an eye on the tropics for next week. I don't necessarily buy the fast development the GFS shows across the Eastern Caribbean, but both the EPS and GEFS indicate some sort of tropical wave could make it into the gulf by the middle/late part of next week. Nothing too concerning yet but...

Also GRK radar is back btw

It looks like it's going to be close for the College Station area

Looks like GRK may have received damage from a tornado

The Luling storm is very impressive. Dynamics are not as strong that far south but there will be little cutoff of southerly flow which could maintain it for a little while.