ha! thanks!

5:45am 12/31/14 .... Isn't it amazing to see single digits in the panhandle, but no chance of the core of the arctic air making it into Houston? We'll probably not even see freezing over the next several days... Talk about dodging a bullet. It's these kind of days....... I am glad we're not dealing ...

advisories.jpg Winter storm warnings are up for west Texas, with various icy travel advisories for central sections, up thru the panhandle region... For Houston, we're still expecting a borderline event, leaning now toward "cold rain" for New Year's day morning. Overall, models seem to be...

GFS and EURO have been suggesting a dusting or coating to 3" for the panhandle and west TX, with their solutions very simliar...I can only post the GFS (due to contract issues with EMCWF), but it looks similar... It will be interesting to see if this verifies.

As of 4pm newscast at KHOU 11, we are going "wet" (not wintry) for Houston area... but we are mentioning that this is a situation to monitor for possible icing far north and west of Houston. (Austin/San Anton/Bryan) for a time New Year's morning... all models continue to advertise "w...

As of 4pm newscast at KHOU 11, we are going "wet" (not wintry) for Houston area... but we are mentioning that this is a situation to monitor for possible icing far north and west of Houston. (Austin/San Anton/Bryan) for a time New Year's morning... all models continue to advertise "w...

As of 4pm newscast at KHOU 11, we are going "wet" (not wintry) for Houston area... but we are mentioning that this is a situation to monitor for possible icing far north and west of Houston. (Austin/San Anton/Bryan) for a time New Year's morning... all models continue to advertise "we...

Thursday morning, temperatures won't be far from freezing in areas well north of Houston... (Conroe and Huntsville?) Today there were reports (per the NWS) of icing on bridges in Brazos Valley up around Bryan earlier this morning... After this arctic front passes thru tomorrow, we'll see New Year's ...

Here's as close as the 12z GFS brings the wintry mix to Houston: Washington County -- Brenham. New Year's morning. This will change as the models get a better grasp on how cold that shallow arctic air mass becomes... I'd expect (loosely) that the ZR line sets up along and north of I-10... I'll bring...

Waiting for 12z GFS to finish... so interesting 9-10 days out to see our first real wintry precip event potentially shaping up. While it's totally insane to talk "precip type" this far out, it seems to me that an all snow event in Houston is unlikely due to the relatively shallow nature of...

I've had to consider 850 temps, sfc wind direction and cloud over to get any sort of accurate ball park on these highs/lows in the 7-day ... MOS/progs seem never to grasp just how cold these shallow, snow-cooled arctic air masses are... Guidance is usually 7°-10° too warm. I have a feeling we're goi...

Of interest... a professional, non-TV storm chaser SUV vehicle from the plains (complete with antennas, anemometer, marked with graphics) -- was spotted driving down Pinellas Blvd near St. Pete, FL at 3:30am this morning -- and the person that spotted him didn't think he was there to visit grandma f...

SO GLAD to be back on the forum... embarrassingly I'd lost my password/username and then got too busy with my young child and work to check in and participate. :) On this last full day of autumn 2014: Just thinking out loud ...we (D.P. and I have been discussing winter...) Drawing on some gut instin...

A rare "soaker", indeed.

Glad the forum's back online! Thanks Steve, or letting me know it was down. We had some DNS issues with our Gannett servers, but it appears that everything is back online. I gave a shout-out on my Facebook page, so hopefully a few more folks check it out to see your discussions. Thanks!

Interesting to see the latest visible satellite loop: The southward-progressing outflow boundary over NE Texas has pretty much died out before reaching our area, though it still has some penetration power for NW Louisiana, closer to the base of the dying MCV. Our low-level SW flow is simply overwhel...

Related to Andrea-- A late-season cold front will be dragged farther south, faster due to the departing tropical system: the SPC says there's an 80% chance a severe storm watch will be needed for the Houston-area. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0979.html

This reminds me of Tropical Storm Debby, with the exception that it's going much faster. Similar radar returns and tornadic activity... dry air to its west giving it a sub-tropical storm look. Fascinating to see this develop. Check out this live camera from Siesta Key beach, Sarasota, FL. Sustained ...

Andrea lives... Marginal system, but a system nonetheless. Just glad it's not coming to Houston. This'll be a good dose of rain, needed for their water table going into an iffy summer... The "wet seasons" haven't been so "wet" in the past few years there.

Waiting on that VORTEX message, but the plane has so far traveled only west of the satellite-indicated center of convection...