Cosgrove seems to think lousiana and texas are going to be the hot spots to watch for tropical landfalls once tbings get going in a few weeks Indeed. I agree that he is spot on. It is going to be a nightmare this season for Texas and Louisiana. I just finished cleaning up my yard today. It's like a...

Folks, hurricane season is obviously on pause, but think not it's done for. Things are about to go full tilt here in about two weeks. The way it is shaping up now the Gulf of Mexico will be trouble central. The west central gulf coast to north central gulf coast should really be paying attention. I ...

My power is out. There is so much yard debris and damaged crapes. It's a mess. This situation could have been a lot worse for all of us. What a horrible time for me to have no power with all of these health issues.

Walking, talking, breathing. Thank the powers to be.

We will need official confirmation of any easterly component. Many times certain behavior can give an illusion of movement in a particular direction..

No doubt, Scott. Things are going to get real around here.

Beryl is determined to survive. Landfall looks to be further up the coast than had earlier been suggested from this morning. That leaves more time to strengthen over excellent conditions. Optimism had turned to pessimism as Beryl could literally climb to major cane status once again. I hope everyone...

Yes, these things can and do regenerate, depending on conditions, of course. I'm not suggesting that's not the case. Beryl has been through a loop of changes. However, now that is in the gulf we are facing timing issues. The shape that it is in right now, coupled with how much more time will be spen...

What a difference a few days can make. Heck even just a day. Remember the conversations about Beryl and 95L in the gulf? It's not over.... yet. As of today.. A Tropical Storm could be on tap, but it's in such bad shape right now. Who knows.

Unless something drastic changes this is Texas system. I still say Corpus to Galveston, but with these shifts it could very well be more like Freeport to Galveston. I highly doubt anything more north than that. This is going to get nasty. Flooding is certainly a component, but not Harvey style.. Wea...

As expected models are shifting north. We are seeing that landfall then turning north, then north east. Without digging here at 4:30 in the morning I wonder if a stall or slow ride up the coast is still on the table. At any rate, with 96L coming along too, this could get quite messy Mexico appears t...

Beryl is determined.. You all know you can't kill Gulfzilla. It's coming. Everyone from Corpus to Galveston should really keep up with updates. I see no reason to not suggest a more northward path at landfall, not unless something drastic happens.

Beryl is looking pretty beaten down tonight. It's only going to hit more shear and land as it tries to traverse to the gulf


The godzilla of the tropics. What a difference.

Flip, flop. Flip, flop..Once again, today. Trends to the south are no longer reliable. This much back and forth reminds me very much of Ike. I'll say it again. It is going to come down to now casting. You guys probably agree that we can't afford to put a fork in it anymore. I remember Doc used to sa...

Well after some scary talk about potential, Beryl is still trending to Mexico. Flip flop sort of continues, really. It's just not time to lock it down.

One thing is for sure. More changes are coming. What will be it's final destination?

Stay tuned

Okay, folks. Beryl has defied all common sense and logic. We can throw expectations out the window. It is time to watch and expect the unexpected. I'm here to tell you I'm officially scared. I encourage everyone to act accordingly with no assumptions. Watch what is and listen to the warnings.

Beryl appears to have some protective high pressure overhead as protective bubble. The current rector would take Beryl just north of Jamaica (instead of south). The path is expended to bend a little less NW, but don't sleep on Beryl. https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/02L/imagery/wv-animated...

Dust, dry air, wind shear, and land interaction. Godzilla fighting a cow, but the cow wins?

Even without land interaction we still have wind shear to deal with. Just a couple more days.

Some very interesting observations today. So, high pressure looks like it will move off to the east and weaken. Then take a look at the jet stream. There has been occasional chatter about Beryl reaching the Texas coast then either stalling or crawling along. Being a Tropical Storm at the juncture, i...

We are back to Mexico today. When it comes to models trend is your friend. It's never accurate except down to the last day or two.

Now we wait. Nowcasting can be so dangerous. It is what it is.