Looking at model runs come Thursday and Friday the fire house looks to be focused on the Triangle and SW Louisiana. Gonna be problematic at best. One of the local station Mets have said some areas will measure this weeks rain by feet...”some areas receiving 2-3 feet of rain” nevertheless Thursday an...

blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/3014209 ... 13c715750e

Looks like euro curves this thing just in time to miss Texas but lake Charles east is in the crosshairs

Well, Beaumont has “Tropical Storm Conditions” possible for Friday now on our NWS LC forecast. Have bot been liking the trend yesterday and this morning so far. I cant handle anymore. Pray he/she goes poof. BOSTWICK seemed almost concrete that it would not be more than a little gusty wind a rain sh...

If the shear relaxes and it continues to fight off the dry air...could ole’ Beta pull a rabbit out of the hat? I say its quite possible. I have seen worse organized storm come back from near death to be formidable. Still don't think its a huge deal at this point but I think if it continues you may s...

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:57 pm

davidiowx wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:54 pm

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:53 pm What is the current heading? Due W?

WNE at 5mph per the 1pm advisory from the NHC

This is impossible sir.

I DO NOT KNOW IT IS 2020!

Sure look like eye wall structure.
https://weather.com/weather/radar/inter ... 5e3122056d

How is a weaker storm like this able to push that dry air back like that? Is it because the wind field is so large? Beta hasn't really pushed the dry air back that well actually. You could actually argue the dry air is the largest inhibiting factor why this system won't intensify much. It's also a ...

Sat loop certainly looking much healthier
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif

That’s a good PRO MET question

It’s trying real hard to not be an under achiever...and agree center does look west and its that blob of convection that looks to be helping push the dry air away and moisten the environment. How many times have we seen storms crossing the Atlantic and carve out a pocket in dry air and thrive.

Beto is moistening it’s environment and may be a surprise? Dry air looks to be locked out for the time being...and I agree the center does look like it has reformed....in the last few frames of the Geo you see the swirl working under the convection.

Looking at visible GEO sat. Definitely a low and mid level spin...or looks that way at least.

I have a feeling you guys are on to something...if Laura runs south and west of the plot points we will know more in the morning. Funny watched Rita do that accept it ran north and east of the plot points... that said if this thing bombs out then watch the mayhem begin!

It does look a bit west and 952 millibars which is knocking on cat 4 right?

Port Arthur issuing mandatory tomorrow at 6:00am

I think when a contracted forecaster / meteorologist tells the off shore rigs to start preparing for a shutdown, knowing that cost millions of dollars...we might want to at least recognize that maybe? Also have a friend in the higher levels of plant management in the beaumont area and they are prepa...

Watched Bastardi and his energy report...he thinks Galveston and Houston have a big problem...I know many dont like him but he is loved by the oil companies and he rings the bell for them...something to think about?

https://maps.apple.com/?ll=29.785503,-9 ... V8A%3D&t=m

New ground zero...wow this is frustrating

Been a while since I have been on the board....working 900 miles away while family in the line of fire is nerve racking...having to make some decisions soon. Live in Hardin County north of Beaumont. Guys I am very unsure as to what I need to do because the projected path is so uncertain. Any words o...

Man you guys nailed it storms building rapidly along 59 to the northeast then along 105 impressive!