MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Yutu could be our Nuri... we already have a warm Npac and Yutu could recurve and really buckle the jet.

This is what I’m hoping for! Very well could happen. Would make for some interesting weather!

Super Typhoon Yutu made landfall on Tinian Island in the Northern Mariana Island as a Category 5 storm. :shock: :o Super Typhoon Yutu at peak. https://i.imgur.com/pZfgENr.png That’s gotta be one of the most beautiful looking TC’s I’ve seen. It’s stacked beautifully and has impressive outflow. Wow! ...

The CMC & Euro both have a pretty strong cold front coming through here around Nov. 2-3. The GFS says nada though.

It’s looking like SETX will only get about .25-1” with the remnants of Willa. Heavier totals of 2-3” will be found up around the DFW area. I find it very hard to believe that as strong as Willa was the qpf totals are forecasted to be so low. Makes no sense to me.

We’ve received 1.9” here so far with more to come tonight and tomorrow! Awesome!

The NAM has quite a bit of rain for us here in SETX. It’s saying some areas could get 6-7”.

Someone in Texas is bound to get a deluge with this. I’m not sure how the models are being so conservative with qpf totals. Doesn’t make any sense to me. I mean just look at the track and strength of this hurricane :shock: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP24/refresh/EP242018_5day_cone_no_li...

Just wanted to report that I finally got a good rain at the house. We’ve received about 1.2” so far today.

I’m not sure if anyone has said it yet, but I’ll go out on a limb on this and say that I do believe SETX has an above average chance at seeing some wintry weather this winter. There’s just too many signs to ignore for this to happen at this point, especially if we end up getting a Modoki El Niño. If...

Latest CPC 6-10 day forecast has cut back on our above average rainfall chances compared to yesterday. I doubt it means much though. These forecast are constantly changing, but one thing that hasn’t been changing is its predictions of above average rainfall and cooler temps for Texas. http://www.cpc...

How much rain has fallen in the last 30 days.



I’m in the central part of Wharton County and as you can tell I’m kinda stuck in a donut hole

The WPC and CPC forecast for our area are night and day different. CPC is very bullish for us and the WPC has the majority of our area only picking up about 1” for the next week.

Concern growing as a series of disturbances travel along the NW Gulf Coast and then a re curving EPAC Tropical Cyclone makes landfall near the Southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. There is a growing consensus that our Region will likely experience below normal temperatures a way above average precip...

Concern growing as a series of disturbances travel along the NW Gulf Coast and then a re curving EPAC Tropical Cyclone makes landfall near the Southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. There is a growing consensus that our Region will likely experience below normal temperatures a way above average precip...

Still hasn’t rained much in the Wharton/El Campo area. So far I’ve picked up about .4” altogether and that’s it.

Not seeing changes regarding our sensible weather into the Extended Range. It does appear we may have to deal with another re curving EPAC Tropical System and the next one could be further S across Texas suggesting a least a potential of heavier rainfall closer to home. The best chances for watchin...

The coldest anomalies with this front appear to be west of our area. The further east you go, probably the less of an impact you’ll have. There’s over a 10 degree difference between Austin and Houston right now and that’s quite a disparity for the two cities only being a couple hours away from each ...

I’m not quite sure how accurate the HRRR model is, but I always see a lot of people talking about it. Anyways, it seems to be keying in on Wharton, Jackson, & Colorado counties this morning.

The GFS and CMC have trended quite a bit wetter the past couples runs across our area.

There are growing indications that cooler weather will continue into late October. It appears that the next couple of days will end our Summer like pattern as the days grow shorter and Fall fully arrives. Surge in the DP this afternoon. The morning and midday felt great though. Sergio moisture and ...