Latest Corpus Christi and Houston/Galveston radar composite loops suggests TS Bill very slowly moving N over Matagorda Bay. Could it be that Bill is moving north over San Antonio Bay, just west of Matagorda Bay, by the Aransas National Wildlife Refuge? Just asking. Yep, looks like an NNE wobble for...

The blob in the SW Gulf is more impressive than Bill! It's lighting up the water vapor loop too. Have to see if the convection continues to build on the south side of Bill. That would not be good as all that convection will wrap up on "the dirty side" (us) as it moves inland. http://www.s...

I've been stuck at the airport in Chicago for 12 hours now. Trying to fly back to Houston tonight. Hope I can beat Bill to Texas. I'm thinking landfall a little east of Matagorda Bay as a 50-60kt TS . Could be a little less intense. That may mean possible 35-45 mph winds for south Houston with high...

srainhoutx wrote:A 60 mph reading in last HDOB.

They've almost waited around long enough for Hurricane Bill to form before TS Bill...

So check this out while we await Recon flight data.. Ironic similarities between this system and Tropical Storm Erin in 2007 which landed near Port Aransas. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Erin_%282007%29 "a Hurricane Hunters flight into the system reported a small circulation cent...

Center starting to take shape, but not clear enough to nail down a track. Extrapolation looks like Matagorda all the way.

tireman4 wrote:This might help....with the wind barbs...

http://i.imgur.com/OB659Ta.jpg

Quite a relocation north. Thinking the models shift a bit.

Looking healthy. Race against the clock for it to wrap up.

Are they going to issue Tropical Storm watches/warnings? Easy, grasshopper. Treat this as a rain event, with some wind, and hopefully doesn't stick around very long. They'll need to issue one for a small area of coastline that will experience those conditions if the storm continues to progress as i...

davidiowx wrote:Are they going to issue Tropical Storm watches/warnings?

More than likely this will come when they do upgrade to BIll.
All the parameters are there except a well defined center, so just a matter of time.

00z models. At this point its a Texas storm, Corpus to Matagorda most likely.
Tomorrow is the big day as to how the storm organizes, especially since it's entering less shear currently.

Model consensus is tight for the current lack of organization shown by this system. Will be interesting to see how it shifts or perhaps doesn't once the LLC forms after it clears land tomorrow. Tomorrows PM runs will be more telling. Either way, 24 hour board mode starts tomorrow.. gonna be another ...

its now 1:39 am and the rain and traing storms continue... roll call who ia awake and monitoring this flooding event..pictursvon facebook flooding all over houston Yep Facebook feed full of crazy pictures. Also, knew I could count on the board being active tonight. Brings back memories of posting o...

Southern edge really starting to build back in and stalling.

Jeff is jumping around the TV stations, on Fox 26 now, says Buffalo Bayou in Downtown @ Milam Street is at 1 Foot OVER BANK.

Jeff on ABC13 again.

cisa wrote:Is there anything else worth noting to watch in the next couple of weeks?

More of the same it looks like. A rollercoaster with warmer days mixed in between cold fronts.
Nothing crazy on the horizon, but models can't be trusted after 5-7 days. Stay tuned

3 NWS Winter Weather bulletins issued in 3 weeks. This is a crazy winter for sure!

WX201, that mid/upper level moisture is associated with that upper low over Mexico. There is a tap of Eastern Pacific moisture that is ejecting E into Texas. Sleet continues here in NW Harris County albeit light at this hour. So question...as that moves East, does it tap any additional Gulf moistur...