Search found 839 matches

by TexasMetBlake
Sat Feb 06, 2021 6:03 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

Latest GFS has teens for southeast Texas. I'm liking that! Soup making weather right there! Are you sure it's the GFS? I just looked at the 18z and the lowest I could find was 25 for Houston. I mean I did see 18 degrees for Huntsville and College Station on Sunday morning but I'm not convinced. Thi...
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Feb 06, 2021 1:12 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

Battle of the ages setting up between the GFS/CMC vs the Euro. GFS/CMC say coats, jackets, layers, heaters, record cold Euro says una mas cerveza por favor while wearing shorts and a tank top. Euro has highs near 70 next weekend while the GFS and CMC are in the freezer at the same time with both mo...
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Feb 06, 2021 1:05 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

Battle of the ages setting up between the GFS/CMC vs the Euro. GFS/CMC say coats, jackets, layers, heaters, record cold Euro says una mas cerveza por favor while wearing shorts and a tank top. Euro has highs near 70 next weekend while the GFS and CMC are in the freezer at the same time with both mod...
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Feb 06, 2021 12:42 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

CMC has a major ice storm for southeast Texas. You do realize that the CMC has us in the 20s for daytime highs on Friday, Saturday, Sunday and into Monday. That's never, ever happened before for that duration in our recorded history and no other model even comes close to that solution. The CMC is g...
by TexasMetBlake
Fri Feb 05, 2021 2:33 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

danmaloney wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 1:48 pm The euro is smoking something called highway 1$5.
I literally LOL'd. This wins the internet today. Thanks for the laugh.
by TexasMetBlake
Fri Feb 05, 2021 12:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

Wow, the Euro just threw a wrench in everything. No arctic air at all through next Friday. 65 degrees for a high on Saturday. The 12z CMC has a high of 21 degrees at the same time. LOL
by TexasMetBlake
Thu Feb 04, 2021 10:42 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

Looks like 12z GFS has now joined the CMC and Euro. No 1062 mega high. Cold here in Texas but nothing 'extreme' like the GFS and CMC showed yesterday.
by TexasMetBlake
Thu Feb 04, 2021 12:06 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

Despite the stronger high on the 00z GFS, I was looking at a close up of the TMAX temps and yes, it'll be cold, but the bigger story for HOUSTON, not Texas, will be the long duration of high temps in the 40s it looks like with overnight lows down into the mid to upper 20s. I don't see anything remot...
by TexasMetBlake
Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:06 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

I take that back. 00z GFS still has the 1062 high dropping into Montana at 224 hours and a 1058 high into CO and then 1048 into west Texas. Man, that's like ice age for Texas. It appears that the 00z GFS delays the high a bit as well. At 18z it had a 1057 high crossing into western ND around 6z on t...
by TexasMetBlake
Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:03 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

Looks like the 00z CMC has joined the Euro camp and has done away with the mega, 1062 mb high for a more reasonable 1046 high. That's much more believable although the CMC is still showing highs near freezing by Feb 11th. Just have to watch and wait. The 00z GFS appears to be following close behind.
by TexasMetBlake
Wed Feb 03, 2021 12:46 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 703298

Re: February 2021

With the NAO the most negative its been in 11 years causing some serious blocking over Greenland, it doesn't surprise me. The GFS has been hinting at an extreme arctic outbreak here and there over the last week. Last week, it was showing a low of 0 deg in College Station. Then it lost it. Keep in mi...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Jan 10, 2021 11:46 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

Next Sunday looks very similar to this storm. We’ll see what happens. I think this one was a huge let down across the board. The GFS and Euro definitely scored big. One thing that surprised me is at my house it went from rain, to all sleet to all snow for 5 minutes and then back to rain and stayed r...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Jan 10, 2021 7:35 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

Snow transitioned back to all rain and the ice/snow accumulation we had briefly is melting. Strange!
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Jan 10, 2021 7:10 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

ALL SNOW AT MY HOUSE NEAR THE WOODLANDS! Roofs are turning white!
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Jan 10, 2021 5:20 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

Sleeting in the Woodlands, at times heavy!
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Jan 10, 2021 3:24 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

Euro and GFS (00z) both now have accumulating snow in Harris County. See my twitter. @KHOUBlake11
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:51 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

With dynamics like we have, not only could we see thunder snow tomorrow but snow ratios may be 12:1 or 13:1. If latest models are right, this will be historic. It's important not to let our imaginations run wild. Rarely will the model be correct. I've always been taught to always take the 'under' o...
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:45 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

With dynamics like we have, not only could we see thunder snow tomorrow but snow ratios may be 12:1 or 13:1. If latest models are right, this will be historic. It's important not to let our imaginations run wild. Rarely will the model be correct. I've always been taught to always take the 'under' on...
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Jan 09, 2021 2:52 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

I think the accumulations will drop off quick but to have snow in the air? Yeah, I-10/59 is a good arbitrary boundary. Expect the unexpected. Rarely do these systems behave the way they’re forecast to.
by TexasMetBlake
Sat Jan 09, 2021 2:15 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 240927

Re: January 2021

Austin just went under a Winter Weather Advisory. I suspect the same is coming for Montgomery, San Jac and Polk counties soon.