Search found 5405 matches

by jasons2k
Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:56 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. Arctic Blast/Snow/Then More Arctic Co

Believe it or not, we are getting reports of snow about 25 to 30 miles west of New Orleans. RUC sounding would not support snow there: Actual sounding from Slidell indicates very little moisture aloft and temps above freezing, too: However, radar is showing a narrow band of precip just west of New ...
by jasons2k
Tue Feb 01, 2011 5:25 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. Severe Threat/Arctic Blast/Then Snow?

Geez! My forecast low is 18 Degrees with wind! Bye Bye Majesty palms and a good chunk of my garden :cry:

I was hoping my first guess last week would actually be wrong....
by jasons2k
Tue Feb 01, 2011 3:22 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. Severe Threat/Arctic Blast/Then Snow?

Everything is wrapped and ready to go here. We dipped to about 32-33F for a brief bit but we've been at 35-36 for a few hours now.

I think this will be the final stake for a lot of my plants. I say bring on the snow and I'll plant a more cold-hardy garden!
by jasons2k
Sun Jan 30, 2011 8:53 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January Weather Discussion: Slight Chance Severe Storms
Replies: 2241
Views: 954241

Re: January Weather Discussion: Slight Chance Severe Storms

My back deck wasn't even wet when I got up early this morning. It is just now starting to sprinkle. Definitely a busted forecast with just light to moderate rain moving in from the west. I thought the same thing too! My driveway just had a few sprinkles. Wow - it's also a reminder that if they bust...
by jasons2k
Wed Jan 26, 2011 4:54 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

Let's follow the NWS forecast for next week. Currently, going for low to mid 50s in the cold air. I suspect those values may be 15-20 degrees too warm, but don't expect them to modify the forecast much until they're more certain that the GFS is incorrect with its relatively mild temperature forecas...
by jasons2k
Wed Jan 26, 2011 4:23 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

Interesting? More like sickening unless you're a glutton for frostbite.
by jasons2k
Wed Jan 26, 2011 2:57 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

I guess that depends on where you are and/or who is doing the forecasting. Every once in a while, it's a tad warmer than forecast here (NWS), but many, many times, I've been a little or a decent amount colder than forecast. So much so that whatever my forecasted low is, I can usually assume it's go...
by jasons2k
Wed Jan 26, 2011 2:49 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

Ptarmigan wrote:Looks like the consensus is that it will be cold. The only question is, how cold will it be and will there be sleet and/or snow.
I'll take the bait and take a stab from 7-8 days out....

18 Degrees and No.
by jasons2k
Wed Jan 26, 2011 2:37 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

I'm glad the board is coming alive. There hasn't been nearly enough activity with the potential of the system. I think the 00z Euro woke some people up.... Including myself. :lol: One thing to keep in mind as we get closer to the event, is many times this winter forecasts have busted with temps dro...
by jasons2k
Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:09 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

From firsthand experience - a little ice can be fun if it gives a free day off and it's not that bad and people stay home. You don't want much of it though, especially with all the trees we have here (esp N and NE sections). Ice Storm = massive power outages = no fun at all. It would be like Ike, bu...
by jasons2k
Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:11 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

I can't speak for him...but I think he really meant 16-18 hours. The Euro, for now, seems to have the right idea and it looks cold, but dry. If we have a low in the low 20's or near 20 then that timeframe would be reasonable. Not possible. Wxman is speaking about overnight. There is no 16 to 18 hou...
by jasons2k
Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:50 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

Wxman, will you clarify something for us? You said 16-18 hours below freezing Wednesday night/Thursday morning. You meant to say 6-8 hours instead? I can't speak for him...but I think he really meant 16-18 hours. The Euro, for now, seems to have the right idea and it looks cold, but dry. If we have...
by jasons2k
Tue Jan 25, 2011 3:27 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

It'll be interesting to see how it unfolds, but that looks to me like a worse freeze threat for Florida than for Texas (sorry, I watch these events for a different reason!). I hope the worst of it pushes east.
by jasons2k
Tue Jan 25, 2011 10:30 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1793609

Re: February Weather. First week Interest?

I thought Channel 2 used Accuweather for their forecasts. I have been keeping a co-worker apprised of all this "winter event" talk and she wanted to know why none of the weather people on the news have yet to say anything. Usually they start talking about stuff like this at least a week o...
by jasons2k
Mon Dec 13, 2010 4:07 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December Weather Discussion. Will We See Rain?
Replies: 583
Views: 246149

Re: December Weather Discussion

I did a full-blown hard freeze prep (well, almost full-blown -- let's say "orange alert" instead of "red alert")... Anyway, covered all the plants and wrapped my tender palms in anticipation of 25 degrees (it had been forecasted to be 27; the 4PM update dropped it to 25 and *gasp...
by jasons2k
Thu Dec 02, 2010 1:09 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December Weather Discussion. Will We See Rain?
Replies: 583
Views: 246149

Re: December Weather Discussion. Model Madness & Looking Ahe

We (at the office) do expect that some of our coldest weather of the winter may come over the next week or two. Nothing extreme though, just a few freezes. No mid to lower 20s. Could be a relatively mild Jan/Feb, certainly compared to last winter. Fine with me. What's left of my tropical garden cou...
by jasons2k
Tue Nov 30, 2010 8:50 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: November Weather Discussion. Rollercoaster Pattern.
Replies: 564
Views: 243191

Re: November Weather Discussion. Rollercoaster Pattern.

I posted this in the December thread but it goes here - I saw sleet this morning with my own two eyes!! At 7:50 this morning, it was 52 degrees outside........and sleeting. It only lasted for about 30 seconds, but I was sitting at a stoplight on Riley Fuzzel road and sleet pellets starting pinging o...
by jasons2k
Tue Nov 30, 2010 8:49 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December Weather Discussion. Will We See Rain?
Replies: 583
Views: 246149

Re: December Weather Discussion. Model Madness & Looking Ahe

Up near Spring, At 7:50 this morning, it was 52 degrees outside........and sleeting. It only lasted for about 30 seconds, but I was sitting at a stoplight on Riley Fuzzel road and sleet pellets starting pinging on my car. Not slushy either - rock solid sleet pellets. And just as quickly as it starte...
by jasons2k
Thu Jul 22, 2010 3:21 pm
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Tropical Depression Bonnie forms 5:15 PM 7/22/2010
Replies: 372
Views: 185583

Re: TD3 forms per NHC 11 a.m. advisory 7/22/2010

I don't trust the eastward shift in the models. I've been harping on the "western" solution for the last two days (in other corners) and I'm sticking to it. I think the ridge will just be too strong to allow this to go that far east.