Yep if the 6z was correct we could get about an inch of snow FWIW

sleetstorm wrote:Candy Cane, please translate what 1:5 and 1:10 means as far as for the type of snowflakes.

1:5 means for every inch of liquid precipitation is equivalent to about 5 inches of snow. And for 1:10 ratios means for every 1 inch of liquid theres about 10 inches of snow.

is it TS season yet? ugh...this event does not excite me as much as the Dec 4th. Too many uncertainies with this one...will join the night crew for the 0z GFS though... I agree for some reason im a little less optimistic about this one,still optimistic just a little less than i was during the Decem...

Dont look at the 18z cause it aint pretty if you want snow around here...(o fcourse its early and its only one model run and the 18z lol)

Yep it certainly is,now im hoping we can get a good 1-3 inches across the area,I guess only time will tell as we continue to fintune the details... SIDENOTE: Maybe a change in the title too include wintry precip or snow is warrant?

Yep GFS still looking nice.

Just when i thought the models were starting to agree the European switched to a weaker and warmer scenario while the GFS still advertises a winter storm for Texas... :/ Local NWS explains the situation pretty good... LONG RANGE...YOUR GUESS IS AS GOOD AS MINE. THE 18Z AND 00Z RUN OF THE GFS IS RATH...

At around 1 am ,sidenote:FWIW the GFS shows around 1 inch of snow for the northwest half of southeast texas

srainhoutx wrote:Now this is interesting...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _120.shtml

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _126.shtml

Yes definitely, 0z GFS still on board if not a little more aggressive with the cold air and precip than the 18z was...

18z GFS is onboard! with the euro FWIW http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_114m.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_120m.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_126m.gif

The 12z Euro looks nice once again even though it's in 24hr intervals so its hard to see exactly finer details but setup is definitely there for another Texas winter storm if you believe the European and UKmet models.

The European looks nice if you want a little frozen precip over SOUTH CENTRAL and SOUTHEAST Texas...

0z Euro looks interesting for sure next week...

FWIW 6z GFS brong back are fantasy winterstorm of the century that it showed a few days ago around the same time

The Canadian may be picking up on what the European is showing...



And the Euro shows the moisture gown by the time the air gets cold enough for anything frozen in southeast Texas...

Not quiet a decade yet as the last time it was right for something that far out was the Christmas 2004 smowstorm...FWIW
But anyway I would like to see the GFS latch on to a winterstorm like the euro before i start buying into snything.

Srain suggested another topic be created so i guess ill start it off again

The Euro looked very interesting late next week (showing another strong high coming out of canada with a trough out to the west...) and the Canadian loooked interesting allso for late next weekend...

Hmm does make you wonder if we could possibly have another "suprise" snow event? similar to december 2008...

Yea what the CMC suggest is that the low tracks closer to the coast and there for we get under the cold core of the low as rain changes to snow on the backside of the system similar to the 2008 snow event.But i dont think that will happen though... On a Sidenote some of the GFS Esembles also show th...