The afternoon Climate Prediction Center Outlooks suggests cold air is coming for much of the United States.

The just Updated Day 11+ Super Ensembles
and Analogs have many memories of cold and some that brought wintry mischief across Texas and beyond.

The 12Z GEFS is something to behold...

This something you rarely see for Christmas morning across the Nation.

Keep an eye on the 17th, plus or minus a day or so for the possibility of a NW Gulf low to develop for you folks. The strong cold front arriving Tuesday into Wednesday is the beginning of significant changes in the pattern across the United States. I believe there are a least one or two additional ...

Keep an eye on the 17th, plus or minus a day or so for the possibility of a NW Gulf low to develop for you folks. The strong cold front arriving Tuesday into Wednesday is the beginning of significant changes in the pattern across the United States. I believe there are a least one or two additional s...

Frankly, the new upgraded GFS is useless. Stick to the Euro and Canadian and their ensembles for any sense of likely reality for a sensible forecast.

We didn't have a winter basically at all last year..hopefully it won't be a repeat this year Up in NW quadrant we had a colder than normal February. The Fall was too warm, like the upcoming Wx after this brief cool down. Enjoy it while it lasts through Wednesday! ;) We are expecting lows in the low...

We got a good front yesterday here in the Smoky Mountains and are expecting a stronger front Sunday evening. Our low temperatures are expected to be in the 30's with high temperatures only reaching the low 60's. I suspect you folks will enjoy the lower dewpoints, particularly in the evenings/early m...

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Tue Sep 20, 2022 7:43 pm I reached 99°F today.

I had a high of 76 today. Expecting upper 30’s Friday morning.

We had more rain earlier today after a Labor Day Weekend washout. Currently 68F at 5:45 local time. Fall is coming quickly folks.

mcd0909.gif Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0909 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 401 PM EDT Tue Aug 30 2022 Areas affected...Southeast TX Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 302000Z - 310000Z SUMMARY...Ongoing thunderstorm activity across southeast Texas may...

mcd0907 (1).gif Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0907 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 956 AM EDT Tue Aug 30 2022 Areas affected...Portions of Eastern and Central Texas Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 301400Z - 302000Z Summary...Showers and thunderstorms are...

Morning Tropical briefing from Jeff: There are a couple of areas of interest in the tropics over the next several days. A trough of low pressure is located over the eastern Caribbean Sea this morning and is moving westward around 15mph. Thunderstorms activity with this surface trough is limited due ...

5 years ago today Harvey made landfall in S Texas.

Good news for the SE Texas lakes that supply water for Houston. The Dallas area flooding was predominantly on the East side of the Metroplex which means places like Lake Livingston, Lake Sam Rayburn and the Trinity River will be flowing down into the important watersheds that supply the drinking wat...

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Aug 18 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with a tropical wave located over southeastern Mexico that is ...

The ensembles suggest that the Tropics may become very active the next couple of weeks.

Looking like a good chance of beneficial rainfall coming and some potential for excessive rainfall day to day. Morning briefing from Jeff: Strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall possible this afternoon over the area. Wet weather pattern in place through much of next week…with drought brea...

Wasnt last winter a la Nina? It stopped us from actually getting cold....ugh not again! And the winter before last. Everyone remembers the debacle with the usually cold outbreak and no power. There are signals of a trough setting up for prolonged periods across the Northern Rockies into the Great P...