Search found 2605 matches

by wxman57
Mon Jan 28, 2019 7:46 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead

prob won't see any frozen stuff but wouldn't surprise me noth of I10 in se tx area could see something. Looks like the surface temperature well north of I-10 will be in the mid to upper 40s with the freezing level way up at 8000 ft as the precip ends tomorrow morning. Not a good recipe for anything...
by wxman57
Wed Jan 23, 2019 8:08 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead

Drove in to work around 6:30 this morning. Heading east on the south loop just past 288 I heard a couple of sleet pellets hit the windshield. Saw a few sleet pellets as I drove south on 45 past Hobby. HRRR has a thin sub-freezing layer overhead around 950mb (1500 ft). Thus, the sleet. Too much above...
by wxman57
Tue Jan 22, 2019 2:04 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead

Not too much of interest as far as our weather this week. cold front comes through tomorrow morning. Maybe another light freeze on Thursday morning, through the temperature may only drop to the mid 30s. Potential for a bit more of a freeze around next Wednesday (30th). Maybe upper 20s. Too cold for ...
by wxman57
Fri Jan 18, 2019 6:06 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Rain/Storms & Strong Cold Front

The cold front is showing up now on surface obs. The source region is Kansas and Nebraska, just recycled old Canadian air for this weekend's front. No new Canadian air for Wednesday's front, either. No Arctic front unless you consider Nebraska the Arctic. You'll have to look farther out for any real...
by wxman57
Fri Jan 18, 2019 8:57 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Rain/Storms & Strong Cold Front

Here's an example from the latest GFS. I selected an area in the middle of its snow prediction next Wednesday morning. Sounding below indicates precip forming in sub-freezing air between about 12,000 and 25,000 ft (mid-level clouds). Such precip would be light snow. However, it then falls through a ...
by wxman57
Fri Jan 18, 2019 8:45 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Rain/Storms & Strong Cold Front

You have to be careful with those snow accumulation maps or the precip-type maps. I notice that the GFS is showing snow between College Station & Waco on Wednesday morning. However, if you look at the predicted sounding, it also has the freezing level way above 700mb (close to 12,000 ft up). All...
by wxman57
Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Rain/Storms & Strong Cold Front

FV3-GFS also has some snow across SE Texas (late Wednesday) Could be snow.. going to be a small window if anything makes it to the surface. Red outline circle in the first image matches what the sounding shows for that same location/time. 12z GFSFV3 indicates that the snow may actually end up falli...
by wxman57
Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Rain/Storms & Strong Cold Front

mcheer23 wrote: Thu Jan 17, 2019 12:40 pm EURO has now jumped on the bandwagon for flurries...mainly like the GFS over Chambers, Jefferson and Orange counties
I have no idea what you're looking at. I see nothing in the latest Euro or GFS as far as any frozen precip anywhere near SE TX.
by wxman57
Thu Jan 17, 2019 9:10 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Rain/Storms & Strong Cold Front

Models continue to trend less cold with Saturday's front. There really is no Arctic air at all in western Canada. In fact, the air up there is relatively mild for mid-January. Latest ECMWF doesn't even take north Houston (Bush) below freezing this Sunday/Monday. Can't rule out a light freeze, but th...
by wxman57
Wed Jan 16, 2019 3:31 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Late Week Artic Front/Hard Freeze Possible

jasons wrote: Wed Jan 16, 2019 3:04 pm Best news of the day!! Will cover the plants still but hopefully this holds.
I'd say 32 for the low Sun/Mon +/- 2 degrees.
by wxman57
Wed Jan 16, 2019 2:24 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 942
Views: 385710

Re: January 2019 - Late Week Artic Front/Hard Freeze Possible

Sorry, folks. No Arctic air coming down this weekend. There isn't any Arctic air in western Canada (source region for our fronts). It's only modified Canadian air from the Northern Plains. Perhaps a light freeze (32F) Sunday/Monday. It's a cold front, which we see quite often in winter, but that's i...
by wxman57
Sun Oct 07, 2018 11:23 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Ticka
Replies: 22
Views: 17006

Re: Ticka

I met Ticka back in the mid to late 1990s when we both participated in a weather chat group on IRC (Internet Relay Chat). This may have been before Windows 95 came out. Long time ago. Sad to hear the news.
by wxman57
Mon Jul 09, 2018 1:47 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Replies: 274
Views: 126951

Re: July 2018: Unsettled Weather Pattern Continues

Closing in on 9 inches for the past week in SW Houston (just outside the SW corner of 610). I think that my lawn is watered enough now.
by wxman57
Mon Jul 02, 2018 1:56 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Replies: 274
Views: 126951

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Latest European model does indicate that the rain will be ending here around mid to late afternoon on the 4th. Perhaps the evening fireworks will go off as planned.
by wxman57
Fri Jun 29, 2018 2:13 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Replies: 274
Views: 126951

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook

This morning's European run is much lower with precip on the 4th, only 1/4 inch across Houston. Closer to the GFS, which has about an inch of rain.
by wxman57
Fri Jun 29, 2018 8:41 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Replies: 274
Views: 126951

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook

Not a lot of chatter on this system mid week. Are we confident it won't turn into anything? And are we looking at several inches like last week or just a few? It'll "turn into" some rain for us on the 4th. No tropical development. Euro has anywhere from 2-6 inches across SE TX next Wed/Th...
by wxman57
Tue Jun 26, 2018 2:47 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Replies: 274
Views: 126951

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook

Both the GFS and European model indicate a fair amount of daytime showers and thunderstorms on the 4th. A bit cooler than normal temps and greater than normal chance of rain.
by wxman57
Tue Jun 26, 2018 2:44 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 312246

Re: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns

Fairly cool this afternoon. Only 91 at both Bush & Hobby. That's a degree or two below normal for this date. Might need a jacket this evening. ;-)
by wxman57
Tue Jun 19, 2018 3:45 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 312246

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

I'm seeing rainfall reports across Harris County ranging from a bit under an inch over the past 2 days to near 4.5 inches. I've measured about 1.5 inches since last Friday in SW Houston (Westbury - just south of Brays Bayou near Hillcroft). More rain coming the rest of this week.
by wxman57
Thu Jun 14, 2018 7:57 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 312246

Re: JUNE 2018:Tracking The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Development chances still appear slim. Chances of widespread rainfall totals 2-5 inches look high. Could be some training of echoes in some locations that may result in rainfall totals of 10 inches, or more. Impossible to tell where those locations will be. Generally a beneficial rain event, with so...