I would not be surprised if there is more rain tonight. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&issuedby=HGX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 000 FXUS64 KHGX 242335 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 535 PM CST Wed Ja...

Long night ahead.

50-70 year round with less than 50% humidity and I would be sold. Doubt such a place exists. A Mediterranean climate would suit you just fine. As it would for a lot of people!! San Diego. At this hour of writing, San Diego is currently 59°F with rain, and at 93% humidity. Even San Diego gets an El ...

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 1.7ºC
Niño 3 1.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.8ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled.

don wrote: ↑Thu Jan 18, 2024 4:57 pm qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (11).png

I rarely see forecast total this high in January. That looks like more like spring, summer, or fall.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.5ºC
Niño 3.4 1.9ºC
Niño 3 2.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.9ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled, while Region 4 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 remain the same.

The forecast models are trending more southward in terms of wintry precipitation. I am more concerned about freezing rain as it makes roads dangerous and cause tree to fall on power lines.

I’ve heard stories of 73 and 77-78 winters. My father played a football playoff game in heavy snow in 1977. I kinda remember, vaguely, the ‘83 December and I certainly remember ‘85 and ‘89. The 1970s winter were colder. Winter of 1972-1973 and 1977-1978 were El Nino winters. 1977-1978 is one of the...

Thanks Gang! You all are awesome!! Thanks for dropping in Srain! Any thoughts on the upcoming week? It's going to get cold and likely stay that way for a while. You folks certainly have a potential freezing rain/sleet event Sunday into early Monday. We know from past experience that models struggle...

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Jan 11, 2024 8:22 pm Who was around here in '97 for the massive SE TX ice storm? That was about as bad as its gotten around here.

I remember that event. There was thunder during the ice storm.

I know with past freezing rain events, trees have fallen onto powerlines causing power outages. They often cause roads to be dangerous to travel. I can even recall thunder during freezing rain. If we get ice accumulations on power lines, expect power outages. I am thinking that could happen, which ...

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 12:53 pm Canadian still being Canadian...

If that was to happen, that would be on par with January 1886 or January 1930 freeze.

I know with past freezing rain events, trees have fallen onto powerlines causing power outages. They often cause roads to be dangerous to travel. I can even recall thunder during freezing rain.

The 18z GFS has a 1065MB high in NW Canada in 10 days lol that’s bananas. The pattern is attempting to reload. If that happened, that would be on par with January 1962, December 1983, or December 1989 in terms of pressure. World Air Pressure Extremes https://www.glenallenweather.com/historylinks/hi...

88 below normal, im not even sure any model run came even close to showing a value like that during the 2021 february outbreak, if the models are still underestimating the cold, this could get really ugly for those northern states Yeah. All-time record lows wouldn’t surprise me in some areas at thi...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 08, 2024 7:59 pm The latest ICON model has temps at 88°F below normal in Montana.

That is like December 1821, January 1886 or February 1899 level.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 1.9ºC
Niño 3 2.0ºC
Niño 1+2 1.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 cooled. Region 4 remains the same.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 6:48 pm That is some serious high pressure up north about 10 days out.

A really strong high pressure would be something. That would be on par with February 1989 freeze. Alaska recorded the highest air pressure in America.

If the forecast models held up, it would be on par with 1899 and 1962 freeze.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Wed Jan 03, 2024 6:32 pm Hmmm

If it is warm in Alaska, it is usually cold in the Lower 48.